Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: Slovan Duslo Šala vs OFK Dunajska Luzna

Team pages: Slovan Duslo Šala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Slovan Duslo Šala1.23

OFK Dunajska Luzna1.26

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Slovan Duslo Šala Draw OFK Dunajska Luzna

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Slovan Duslo Šala 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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OFK Dunajska Luzna 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slovan Duslo Šala 1–2–1 OFK Dunajska Luzna (4 last)

Slovan Duslo Šala1-0OFK Dunajska Luzna
OFK Dunajska Luzna1-1Slovan Duslo Šala
Slovan Duslo Šala0-2OFK Dunajska Luzna
OFK Dunajska Luzna2-2Slovan Duslo Šala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slovan Duslo Šala 1456 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 1546

	Slovan Duslo Šala	Draw	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Our model	34%	30%	36%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFK Dunajska Luzna (rating 1456 vs 1546).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slovan Duslo Šala	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:37 +22’	2.45	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Slovan Duslo Šala 1–2–1 OFK Dunajska Luzna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/16 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	1-0 HT 0-0	OFK Dunajska Luzna
03/04/16 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Dunajska Luzna	1-1 HT 0-0	Slovan Duslo Šala
21/11/15 Slovakia 2. Liga	Slovan Duslo Šala	0-2 HT 0-2	OFK Dunajska Luzna
11/09/15 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Dunajska Luzna	2-2 HT 1-1	Slovan Duslo Šala

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	10	9	1	0	36	7	28
2	Puchov	10	5	4	1	19	6	19
3	Spartak Myjava	10	5	3	2	18	11	18
4	OFK Dunajska Luzna	10	5	3	2	14	9	18
5	TJ Kovo Belusa	10	4	5	1	20	12	17
6	FK Nove Zamky	10	4	3	3	13	17	15
7	AS Trencin B	10	4	2	4	21	19	14
8	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	10	4	2	4	16	15	14
9	FC Banik Prievidza	10	4	1	5	16	16	13
10	Dunajska Streda B	10	3	2	5	19	18	11
11	KFC Komarno B	10	3	2	5	11	23	11
12	Raca Bratislava	10	2	4	4	13	21	10
13	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	10	2	3	5	15	28	9
14	MSK Senec	10	3	0	7	9	20	9
15	OK Castkovce	10	2	2	6	17	25	8
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	10	1	3	6	8	18	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slovan Duslo Šala	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Dunajska Streda B	0-0 D	3-0 W
FC Banik Prievidza	1-2 L	2-1 W
OK Castkovce	1-1 D	1-0 W
MSK Senec	3-1 W	0-1 L
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	0-2 L	1-1 D
TJ Kovo Belusa	1-3 L	2-2 D
AS Trencin B	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: OFK Dunajska Luzna (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slovan Duslo Šala

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
03/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
26/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	0-4	1	6	L
20/09	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
12/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
05/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
29/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	3-1	2	6	W
22/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
15/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
09/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-4	2-4	–	–	L

OFK Dunajska Luzna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
03/10	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
29/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
22/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
15/08	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
07/08	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slovan Duslo Šala vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an OFK Dunajska Luzna win (37%). Probabilities: Slovan Duslo Šala 36%, draw 27%, OFK Dunajska Luzna 37%.

How many goals are expected in Slovan Duslo Šala vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Slovan Duslo Šala 1.23 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 1.26), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slovan Duslo Šala vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.