Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 18/10, 10:30

Prediction: Dunajska Streda B vs Puchov

Team pages: Dunajska Streda B · Puchov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Dunajska Streda B1.21

Puchov1.79

1X2

25% 24% 51%

Dunajska Streda B Draw Puchov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dunajska Streda B 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLDDWL

Puchov 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWLWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Dunajska Streda B 0–2 Puchov (2 last)

Puchov3-2Dunajska Streda B
Dunajska Streda B1-2Puchov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunajska Streda B 1482 · Puchov 1557

	Dunajska Streda B	Draw	Puchov
Our model	25%	25%	50%
Market	26%	23%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puchov (rating 1482 vs 1557).
H2H favours Puchov: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunajska Streda B	Puchov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 5.1	2.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.80

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:32 +7’	3.50	3.80	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunajska Streda B 0–0–2 Puchov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/18 Slovakia 3. Liga	Puchov	3-2 HT 2-2	Dunajska Streda B
17/11/17 Slovakia 3. Liga	Dunajska Streda B	1-2 HT 1-1	Puchov

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	10	9	1	0	36	7	28
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	11	6	3	2	15	9	21
3	Puchov	10	5	4	1	19	6	19
4	Spartak Myjava	11	5	3	3	20	14	18
5	TJ Kovo Belusa	10	4	5	1	20	12	17
6	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
7	FC Banik Prievidza	11	5	1	5	19	18	16
8	FK Nove Zamky	11	4	3	4	13	18	15
9	AS Trencin B	11	4	2	5	23	22	14
10	MSK Senec	11	4	0	7	10	20	12
11	OK Castkovce	11	3	2	6	18	25	11
12	Dunajska Streda B	10	3	2	5	19	18	11
13	KFC Komarno B	10	3	2	5	11	23	11
14	Raca Bratislava	10	2	4	4	13	21	10
15	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	11	2	3	6	15	29	9
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	11	1	3	7	8	19	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunajska Streda B	Puchov
FC Nitra	1-2 L	0-0 D
FC Banik Prievidza	2-3 L	1-1 D
OK Castkovce	1-3 L	2-1 W
MSK Senec	2-0 W	5-0 W
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	5-2 W	1-1 D
TJ Kovo Belusa	2-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Puchov (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunajska Streda B

LWWLLLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-3	9	6	L
04/10	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
27/09	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
20/09	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
12/09	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	1	6	L
21/08	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
15/08	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
09/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-3	3	8	L

Puchov

DDWLWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
03/10	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-1	2	9	W
26/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
19/09	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/09	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	5	6	W
06/09	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
23/08	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
15/08	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	3	D
08/08	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunajska Streda B vs Puchov?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Puchov win (51%). Probabilities: Dunajska Streda B 25%, draw 24%, Puchov 51%.

How many goals are expected in Dunajska Streda B vs Puchov?

The model expects 3 goals (Dunajska Streda B 1.21 · Puchov 1.79), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunajska Streda B vs Puchov?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.