Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Chernomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka
Team pages: Chernomorets Odessa · Kolos Kovalivka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Chernomorets Odessa0.89
Kolos Kovalivka1.25
1X2
Chernomorets Odessa
Draw
Kolos Kovalivka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chernomorets Odessa
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Kolos Kovalivka
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chernomorets Odessa
4–1–1
Kolos Kovalivka
(6 last)
- Kolos Kovalivka1-2Chernomorets Odessa
- Chernomorets Odessa1-0Kolos Kovalivka
- Chernomorets Odessa1-0Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka2-0Chernomorets Odessa
- Chernomorets Odessa3-0Kolos Kovalivka
- Kolos Kovalivka1-1Chernomorets Odessa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chernomorets Odessa 1542 · Kolos Kovalivka 1517
| Chernomorets Odessa | Draw | Kolos Kovalivka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 32% | 43% |
| Market | 26% | 29% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chernomorets Odessa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chernomorets Odessa | Kolos Kovalivka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.5 | 1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chernomorets Odessa 4–1–1 Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Chernomorets Odessa |
| 16/08/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Chernomorets Odessa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 10/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Chernomorets Odessa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 06/08/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Chernomorets Odessa |
| 03/05/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Chernomorets Odessa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Kolos Kovalivka |
| 24/10/22 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Kolos Kovalivka | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chernomorets Odessa |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Kharkiv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Livyi Bereh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Chernomorets Odessa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | FC Veres Rivne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Obolon Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chernomorets Odessa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | FC Metalist Kharkiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/04 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Kolos Kovalivka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 10/04 | FC Rukh Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chernomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kolos Kovalivka win (44%). Probabilities: Chernomorets Odessa 26%, draw 30%, Kolos Kovalivka 44%.
How many goals are expected in Chernomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka?
The model expects 2.14 goals (Chernomorets Odessa 0.89 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.25), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Chernomorets Odessa vs Kolos Kovalivka?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.