Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 05/09, 12:00
Prediction: FC Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv
Team pages: FC Kharkiv · Obolon Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
FC Kharkiv1.82
Obolon Kyiv0.61
1X2
FC Kharkiv
Draw
Obolon Kyiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Kharkiv
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Obolon Kyiv
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Kharkiv
2–3–1
Obolon Kyiv
(6 last)
- Obolon Kyiv1-3FC Kharkiv
- FC Kharkiv2-0Obolon Kyiv
- FC Kharkiv0-0Obolon Kyiv
- FC Kharkiv1-1Obolon Kyiv
- Obolon Kyiv1-0FC Kharkiv
- Obolon Kyiv1-1FC Kharkiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Kharkiv 1503 · Obolon Kyiv 1452
| FC Kharkiv | Draw | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 24% | 11% |
| Market | 66% | 23% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kharkiv (rating 1503 vs 1452).
- H2H favours FC Kharkiv: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Kharkiv | Obolon Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kharkiv 2–3–1 Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-3 HT 1-0 | FC Kharkiv |
| 24/08/25 Ukraine Cup | FC Kharkiv | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 04/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kharkiv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 22/04/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Kharkiv | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Obolon Kyiv |
| 08/10/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Kharkiv |
| 08/05/21 Ukraine Persha Liga | Obolon Kyiv | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Kharkiv |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karpaty Lviv | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Kharkiv | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | Chernomorets Odessa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | LNZ Lebedyn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | FC Veres Rivne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Livyi Bereh | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Kudrivka | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Kharkiv | Obolon Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| LNZ Lebedyn | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Kharkiv (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Kharkiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 12/05 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
Obolon Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Kharkiv win (66%). Probabilities: FC Kharkiv 66%, draw 23%, Obolon Kyiv 11%.
How many goals are expected in FC Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model expects 2.42 goals (FC Kharkiv 1.82 · Obolon Kyiv 0.61), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Kharkiv vs Obolon Kyiv?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.