Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 12/09, 12:00

Prediction: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Kharkiv

Team pages: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih · FC Kharkiv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih1.09

FC Kharkiv1.72

1X2

23% 25% 51%

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Draw FC Kharkiv

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLWDLD

FC Kharkiv 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDDDWWLLWW

Head-to-head

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 4–1–1 FC Kharkiv (6 last)

FC Kharkiv0-0FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2-0FC Kharkiv
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih3-0FC Kharkiv
FC Kharkiv1-3FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kharkiv0-2FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih0-2FC Kharkiv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1522 · FC Kharkiv 1493

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	Draw	FC Kharkiv
Our model	23%	26%	51%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	FC Kharkiv
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4	3.3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.70

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.75▲	Pinn 4.73 ★
X	3.40 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.99
2	1.83 → 1.73▼	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:43 +13’	3.60	3.40	1.83
14:36 +10’	3.75▲	3.70▲	1.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:33 +12’	4.73	3.99	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 4–1–1 FC Kharkiv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kharkiv	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
09/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Kharkiv
28/04/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	3-0 HT 3-0	FC Kharkiv
20/10/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kharkiv	1-3 HT 1-2	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
29/05/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kharkiv	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih
20/11/22 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Kharkiv

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	5	4	0	1	13	5	12
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	5	4	0	1	10	4	12
3	Karpaty Lviv	5	3	1	1	12	4	10
4	FC Kharkiv	5	3	0	2	10	4	9
5	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	5	2	2	1	6	2	8
6	Dynamo Kiev	4	2	1	1	4	5	7
7	FC Zorya Lugansk	5	2	1	2	6	8	7
8	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	5	1	3	1	3	3	6
9	FC Veres Rivne	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
10	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
11	LNZ Lebedyn	5	1	2	2	2	4	5
12	FC Livyi Bereh	4	0	4	0	2	2	4
13	Chernomorets Odessa	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
14	Obolon Kyiv	5	0	3	2	0	8	3
15	Kolos Kovalivka	4	0	2	2	3	6	2
16	FC Kudrivka	5	0	2	3	2	13	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	FC Kharkiv
FC Zorya Lugansk	3-1 W	3-0 W
Karpaty Lviv	1-4 L	2-2 D
Shakhtar Donetsk	2-3 L	0-1 L
FC Veres Rivne	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kharkiv (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih

DWWLDLWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-2	8	8	D
30/08	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
15/08	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
09/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	3-1	4	2	W
01/08	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-4	3	3	L
23/05	PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
17/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	2-3	1	0	L
12/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-1	0	2	W
08/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
01/05	SC Poltava Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-3	3-3	8	4	D

FC Kharkiv

LDDDWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	5-0	5-0	7	6	W
31/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
16/08	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
10/08	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
01/08	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
24/05	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	10	11	W
16/05	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	4	0	D
12/05	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-2	7	7	D
09/05	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
03/05	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-1	7	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Kharkiv?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kharkiv win (51%). Probabilities: FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 23%, draw 25%, FC Kharkiv 51%.

How many goals are expected in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Kharkiv?

The model expects 2.81 goals (FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 1.09 · FC Kharkiv 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih vs FC Kharkiv?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.