Prediction: Larne FC vs Coleraine
Expected goals: 2.61 (Larne FC 1.35 · Coleraine 1.26). The model gives 38% home, 29% draw, 33% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Larne FC is 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Coleraine 8-2-0 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Larne FC and 2 for Coleraine, with 1 draw.
| Larne FC | Draw | Coleraine | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Larne FC: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Larne FC | Coleraine | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC 3–1–2 Coleraine
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Coleraine |
| 04/04/26 Northern Ireland Cup | Coleraine | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Larne FC |
| 02/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Coleraine |
| 25/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Larne FC |
| 10/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Larne FC |
| 12/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Larne FC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Larne FC | Coleraine |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 8-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Glentoran | 0-0 D | 6-2 W |
| Linfield | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Cliftonville | 2-0 W | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Coleraine (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larne FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | HW Welders UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Stranraer UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
Coleraine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 6-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
4-2 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/03 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larne FC vs Coleraine?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC win (38%). Probabilities: Larne FC 38%, draw 29%, Coleraine 33%.
How many goals are expected in Larne FC vs Coleraine?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Larne FC 1.35 · Coleraine 1.26), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Larne FC vs Coleraine?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.