Football · Bulgaria Second League · 15/11, 13:30

Prediction: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Team pages: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1.39

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.84

1X2

28% 25% 47%

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Draw Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDLLWLLD

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1–1–4 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (6 last)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-0Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo2-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo3-2PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-3Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1467 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1478

	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	Draw	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	28%	25%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.60

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +9’	3.20	3.60	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1–1–4 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/25 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-1 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
07/10/24 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-1 HT 0-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
05/05/23 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-0 HT 0-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
08/10/22 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-1 HT 2-1	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
21/05/22 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3-2 HT 2-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
28/11/21 Bulgaria B PFG	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-3 HT 0-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	15	8	5	2	29	14	29
2	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
3	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
4	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
5	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	15	6	5	4	14	13	23
6	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	15	7	2	6	32	25	23
7	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
8	Beroe	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	14	6	4	4	20	14	22
10	Spartak Pleven	15	6	3	6	17	26	21
11	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
12	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
13	Marek Dupnitsa	15	5	3	7	17	21	18
14	Nesebar	15	5	3	7	22	23	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	14	2	4	8	14	27	10
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	15	0	2	13	8	41	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Spartak Pleven	1-1 D	1-2 L
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	2-4 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-1 W	1-4 L
CSKA Sofia II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Vihren Sandanski	0-2 L	1-4 L
Beroe	2-2 D	2-2 D
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-2 L	1-2 L
Rilski Sportist	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

LDLDLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
27/10	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-5	0	4	L
10/10	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
27/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
21/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
13/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
06/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
03/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
29/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-4	4	9	L

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

DLDLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/10	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
09/10	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
20/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	2-4	6	4	L
14/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
03/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (47%). Probabilities: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 28%, draw 25%, Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 47%.

How many goals are expected in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model expects 3.23 goals (PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1.39 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.84), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.