Football · Bulgaria Second League · 02/11, 16:30

Prediction: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs FK Fratria

Team pages: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich · FK Fratria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0.96

FK Fratria1.75

1X2

20% 25% 55%

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Draw FK Fratria

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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FK Fratria 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 2–1–1 FK Fratria (4 last)

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-1FK Fratria
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich2-0FK Fratria
FK Fratria1-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
FK Fratria1-2PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1456 · FK Fratria 1538

	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	Draw	FK Fratria
Our model	19%	26%	55%
Market	20%	25%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Fratria (rating 1456 vs 1538).
H2H favours PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	FK Fratria
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.4	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.60

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +1’	4.50	3.60	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 2–1–1 FK Fratria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/25 Club Friendly List	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Fratria
05/12/24 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Fratria
20/07/24 Bulgaria Second League	FK Fratria	1-1 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
29/06/24 Club Friendly List	FK Fratria	1-2 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26	12	25
2	Vihren Sandanski	13	7	4	2	26	13	25
3	Chernomorets Burgas	13	7	4	2	22	9	25
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21	16	21
6	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11	10	20
7	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	13	6	2	5	29	21	20
8	Yantra Gabrovo	13	6	2	5	16	14	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15	13	19
10	Marek Dupnitsa	13	5	3	5	15	15	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21	19	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	17
13	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	11
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5	36	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	FK Fratria
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-5 L	1-1 D
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	2-2 D
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-1 W	1-1 D
CSKA Sofia II	1-3 L	1-0 W
Vihren Sandanski	0-2 L	2-2 D
Beroe	2-2 D	2-0 W
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Fratria (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-5	0	4	L
10/10	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
27/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
21/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
13/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
06/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
03/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
29/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-4	4	9	L
16/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

FK Fratria

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
27/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
20/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
15/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
07/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
01/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
29/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
24/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
14/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
09/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-0	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs FK Fratria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Fratria win (55%). Probabilities: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 20%, draw 25%, FK Fratria 55%.

How many goals are expected in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs FK Fratria?

The model expects 2.71 goals (PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 0.96 · FK Fratria 1.75), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs FK Fratria?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.