Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 1 · 22/08, 11:00
Prediction: Roma U20 vs Monza U20
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Roma U201.72
Monza U200.82
1X2
Roma U20
Draw
Monza U20
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Roma U20
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Monza U20
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Roma U20
2–2–2
Monza U20
(6 last)
- Roma U201-1Monza U20
- Roma U202-0Monza U20
- Monza U200-5Roma U20
- Roma U201-1Monza U20
- Monza U205-1Roma U20
- Roma U201-4Monza U20
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roma U20 1507 · Monza U20 1404
| Roma U20 | Draw | Monza U20 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma U20 (rating 1507 vs 1404).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma U20 | Monza U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 1 / 9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma U20 2–2–2 Monza U20
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 | Roma U20 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Monza U20 |
| 07/01/26 Italy Primavera Cup | Roma U20 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Monza U20 |
| 16/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 | Monza U20 | 0-5 HT 0-1 | Roma U20 |
| 18/01/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 | Roma U20 | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Monza U20 |
| 20/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 | Monza U20 | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Roma U20 |
| 04/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 | Roma U20 | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Monza U20 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Monza U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fiorentina U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roma U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atalanta U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bologna U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cagliari U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cesena U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como U19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Empoli U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genoa U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hellas Verona U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Milan U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Parma U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sassuolo U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lazio U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Torino U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albinoleffe U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lecce U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma U20 | Monza U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna U20 | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Atalanta U20 | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Fiorentina U20 | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma U20 (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma U20
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05 | Bologna U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Hellas Verona U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Sassuolo U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Cremonese U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Juventus U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Lazio U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Napoli U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Atalanta U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Monza U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/03 | Fiorentina U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
Monza U20
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Parma U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Atalanta U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | AC Milan U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/04 | Fiorentina U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Frosinone U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Bologna U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Genoa U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/03 | Roma U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/03 | Cesena U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/03 | Cagliari U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma U20 vs Monza U20?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma U20 win (58%). Probabilities: Roma U20 58%, draw 24%, Monza U20 17%.
How many goals are expected in Roma U20 vs Monza U20?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Roma U20 1.72 · Monza U20 0.82), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma U20 vs Monza U20?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.