Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 1 · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Cagliari U20 vs Sassuolo U20

Team pages: Sassuolo U20

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Cagliari U201.41

Sassuolo U201.43

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Cagliari U20 Draw Sassuolo U20

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cagliari U20 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDDWWL

Sassuolo U20 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWDLDL

Head-to-head

Cagliari U20 3–2–1 Sassuolo U20 (6 last)

Cagliari U202-2Sassuolo U20
Sassuolo U203-2Cagliari U20
Sassuolo U201-2Cagliari U20
Cagliari U203-1Sassuolo U20
Sassuolo U202-2Cagliari U20
Cagliari U202-1Sassuolo U20

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cagliari U20 1523 · Sassuolo U20 1467

	Cagliari U20	Draw	Sassuolo U20
Our model	36%	27%	37%
Market	36%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cagliari U20 (rating 1523 vs 1467).
H2H favours Cagliari U20: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cagliari U20	Sassuolo U20
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	1 / 2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	4 / 2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.40

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.59
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.45 → 2.38▼	Pinn 2.55 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +6’	2.40	3.40	2.45
05:11 +13’	2.45▲	3.40	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:42	2.59	3.21	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cagliari U20 3–2–1 Sassuolo U20

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Cagliari U20	2-2 HT 2-1	Sassuolo U20
21/09/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Sassuolo U20	3-2 HT 1-1	Cagliari U20
27/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Sassuolo U20	1-2 HT 0-0	Cagliari U20
19/10/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Cagliari U20	3-1 HT 0-1	Sassuolo U20
30/03/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Sassuolo U20	2-2 HT 1-0	Cagliari U20
06/01/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	Cagliari U20	2-1 HT 0-1	Sassuolo U20

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Inter Milan U20	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
2	Roma U20	3	2	1	0	7	4	7
3	Lazio U20	2	2	0	0	8	3	6
4	Bologna U20	3	2	0	1	7	6	6
5	Empoli U20	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	AC Milan U20	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
7	Cesena U20	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
8	Parma U20	2	1	1	0	6	2	4
9	Como U19	3	1	1	1	4	3	4
10	Cagliari U20	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
11	Genoa U20	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
11	Hellas Verona U20	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
13	Juventus U20	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
14	Lecce U20	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
15	Fiorentina U20	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
16	Sassuolo U20	2	0	1	1	1	5	1
17	Torino U20	3	0	1	2	7	10	1
18	Monza U20	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
19	Atalanta U20	2	0	0	2	3	7	0
20	Albinoleffe U20	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cagliari U20	Sassuolo U20
AC Milan U20	1-2 L	1-1 D
Cesena U20	2-0 W	2-3 L
Frosinone U20	4-1 W	1-2 L
Parma U20	1-3 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cagliari U20 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cagliari U20

LWWLWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Bologna U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Albinoleffe U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Napoli U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/05	Napoli U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Bologna U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
01/05	Lecce U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
26/04	AC Milan U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/04	Cesena U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/04	Frosinone U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
04/04	Parma U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Sassuolo U20

DLWDLWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Parma U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
22/08	Fiorentina U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Frosinone U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	Roma U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/05	Torino U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Cesena U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
18/04	AC Milan U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	Fiorentina U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	2-1	3-1	2	6	W
04/04	Inter Milan U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
21/03	Cremonese U20 Italy Campionato Primavera 1	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cagliari U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sassuolo U20 win (37%). Probabilities: Cagliari U20 36%, draw 27%, Sassuolo U20 37%.

How many goals are expected in Cagliari U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Cagliari U20 1.41 · Sassuolo U20 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cagliari U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.