Prediction: Al Nejmeh vs Sagesse SC
Expected goals: 2.8 (Al Nejmeh 1.73 · Sagesse SC 1.07). The model gives 52% home, 26% draw, 22% away. Under 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Al Nejmeh is 6-3-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Sagesse SC 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Al Nejmeh won 5 and Sagesse SC 0, with 1 draw.
| Al Nejmeh | Draw | Sagesse SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Nejmeh (rating 1584 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Al Nejmeh: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Nejmeh | Sagesse SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/63/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Nejmeh 5–1–0 Sagesse SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 Lebanon League | Sagesse SC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al Nejmeh |
| 27/12/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sagesse SC |
| 12/07/25 Lebanon League | Sagesse SC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Al Nejmeh |
| 14/06/25 Lebanon League | Sagesse SC | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Al Nejmeh |
| 02/05/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sagesse SC |
| 01/02/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sagesse SC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Nejmeh | Sagesse SC |
|---|---|---|
| Tadamon Sour | 1-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Al-Mabarrah | 5-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Jwaya FC | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Al Ahed | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Al Ansar Beirut | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Reyady Abaseya | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Shabab Al-Sahel | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Nejmeh (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Nejmeh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 29/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Ansar Beirut World Club Friendlies |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 07/02 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Sagesse SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 29/06 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
0-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
4-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/02 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/02 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 30/01 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Nejmeh vs Sagesse SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Nejmeh win (52%). Probabilities: Al Nejmeh 52%, draw 26%, Sagesse SC 22%.
How many goals are expected in Al Nejmeh vs Sagesse SC?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Al Nejmeh 1.73 · Sagesse SC 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Nejmeh vs Sagesse SC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.