Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 25/10, 14:00
Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)
Team pages: Hearts (W) · Montrose LFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.7Total
Hearts (W)3.35
Montrose LFC (W)1.35
1X2
Hearts (W)
Draw
Montrose LFC (W)
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Hearts (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Montrose LFC (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hearts (W)
6–0
Montrose LFC (W)
(6 last)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-7Hearts (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)1-7Hearts (W)
- Hearts (W)7-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Hearts (W)7-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Hearts (W)6-0Montrose LFC (W)
- Montrose LFC (W)0-3Hearts (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1579 · Montrose LFC (W) 1430
| Hearts (W) | Draw | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 93% | 5% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.7 goals · Bet365 line 4.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hearts (W) (rating 1579 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Hearts (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hearts (W) | Montrose LFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.4 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 6–0–0 Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-7 HT 0-2 | Hearts (W) |
| 28/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 1-7 HT 0-3 | Hearts (W) |
| 12/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 7-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 05/10/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Hearts (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 19/01/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hearts (W) | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Montrose LFC (W) |
| 20/10/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Montrose LFC (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Hearts (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 27 |
| 2 | Hearts (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Celtic (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 16 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 7 | Motherwell (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 7 |
| 8 | Spartans (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 7 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hearts (W) | Montrose LFC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic (W) | 4-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 6-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Hibernian (W) | 3-2 W | 1-6 L |
| Glasgow City (W) | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Spartans (W) | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Rangers (W) | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Motherwell (W) | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Aberdeen (W) | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Hearts (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hearts (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/10 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
Montrose LFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 85%, draw 9%, Montrose LFC (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model expects 4.7 goals (Hearts (W) 3.35 · Montrose LFC (W) 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.