Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Montrose LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)

Team pages: Montrose LFC (W) · Partick Thistle (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Montrose LFC (W)1.67

Partick Thistle (W)1.75

1X2

36% 25% 39%

Montrose LFC (W) Draw Partick Thistle (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Montrose LFC (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLWW

Partick Thistle (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Montrose LFC (W) 3–1–2 Partick Thistle (W) (6 last)

Partick Thistle (W)3-2Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)1-2Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)0-2Montrose LFC (W)
Partick Thistle (W)0-1Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)2-0Partick Thistle (W)
Partick Thistle (W)3-3Montrose LFC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montrose LFC (W) 1433 · Partick Thistle (W) 1465

	Montrose LFC (W)	Draw	Partick Thistle (W)
Our model	36%	24%	39%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Montrose LFC (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montrose LFC (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.9	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.8	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.2	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:40 +8’	2.50	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montrose LFC (W) 3–1–2 Partick Thistle (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	3-2 HT 0-1	Montrose LFC (W)
08/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Partick Thistle (W)
19/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Montrose LFC (W)
11/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Montrose LFC (W)
16/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Partick Thistle (W)
15/12/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Partick Thistle (W)	3-3 HT 2-2	Montrose LFC (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	10	10	0	0	36	7	30
2	Celtic (W)	10	8	0	2	26	12	24
3	Hearts (W)	9	7	1	1	34	10	22
4	Glasgow City (W)	9	5	2	2	26	10	17
5	Hibernian (W)	10	5	1	4	26	14	16
6	Partick Thistle (W)	9	2	2	5	13	21	8
7	Spartans (W)	10	2	2	6	7	27	8
8	Motherwell (W)	10	2	1	7	5	27	7
9	Montrose LFC (W)	9	2	0	7	11	29	6
10	Aberdeen (W)	10	0	1	9	3	30	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montrose LFC (W)	Partick Thistle (W)
Aberdeen (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Spartans (W)	3-0 W	1-1 D
Glasgow City (W)	1-3 L	1-4 L
Hibernian (W)	1-6 L	1-3 L
Hearts (W)	0-7 L	1-6 L
Motherwell (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
Celtic (W)	0-3 L	2-3 L
Rangers (W)	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Partick Thistle (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montrose LFC (W)

WLLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
18/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	11	2	W
04/10	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
20/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-6	3	2	L
06/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
30/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	1	0	L
16/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	2	1	L
17/05	Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	5-0	0	1	W

Partick Thistle (W)

DDLWLLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
18/10	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-3	1-6	3	2	L
04/10	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
27/09	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	3-2	7	2	W
20/09	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-4	1	0	L
06/09	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	2-3	4	5	L
30/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	15	0	W
23/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
16/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
24/05	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	1-1	2	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montrose LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partick Thistle (W) win (39%). Probabilities: Montrose LFC (W) 36%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in Montrose LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Montrose LFC (W) 1.67 · Partick Thistle (W) 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Montrose LFC (W) vs Partick Thistle (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.