Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 14/11, 15:10

Prediction: Hearts (W) vs Hibernian (W)

Team pages: Hearts (W) · Hibernian (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Hearts (W)2.26

Hibernian (W)1.36

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Hearts (W) Draw Hibernian (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hearts (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWWLW

Hibernian (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Hearts (W) 3–3 Hibernian (W) (6 last)

Hibernian (W)2-3Hearts (W)
Hibernian (W)2-0Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)1-2Hibernian (W)
Hibernian (W)1-3Hearts (W)
Hearts (W)2-3Hibernian (W)
Hearts (W)2-0Hibernian (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hearts (W) 1576 · Hibernian (W) 1547

	Hearts (W)	Draw	Hibernian (W)
Our model	57%	21%	22%
Market	56%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hearts (W)	Hibernian (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.2	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.2	2.9 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +23’	1.60	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hearts (W) 3–0–3 Hibernian (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Hearts (W)
24/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Hearts (W)
22/03/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Hibernian (W)
16/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hibernian (W)	1-3 HT 1-0	Hearts (W)
09/11/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women	Hearts (W)	2-3 HT 1-2	Hibernian (W)
07/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Hearts (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Hibernian (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	11	11	0	0	37	7	33
2	Hearts (W)	11	8	1	2	36	12	25
3	Celtic (W)	11	8	0	3	27	15	24
4	Glasgow City (W)	10	6	2	2	36	11	20
5	Hibernian (W)	11	6	1	4	31	16	19
6	Motherwell (W)	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
7	Montrose LFC (W)	11	3	0	8	16	32	9
8	Spartans (W)	11	2	2	7	8	37	8
9	Partick Thistle (W)	10	2	2	6	14	25	5
10	Aberdeen (W)	11	0	1	10	5	35	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hearts (W)	Hibernian (W)
Montrose LFC (W)	2-1 W	6-1 W
Rangers (W)	0-1 L	2-4 L
Celtic (W)	4-2 W	0-1 L
Partick Thistle (W)	6-1 W	3-1 W
Glasgow City (W)	2-2 D	2-2 D
Spartans (W)	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hearts (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hearts (W)

WLWWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	2-1	2	3	W
08/11	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
21/10	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-2	4-2	4	6	W
18/10	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-1	6-1	12	2	W
04/10	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
27/09	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-2	6	1	D
20/09	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
06/09	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	7-0	14	1	W
30/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	3	2	L
23/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	5-0	7	1	W

Hibernian (W)

WLDWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-2	5-2	6	0	W
04/11	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
21/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
18/10	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	2-4	5	4	L
04/10	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-3	5	5	L
27/09	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	10	0	W
20/09	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	6-1	10	2	W
04/09	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
30/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
23/08	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	3-1	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hearts (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hearts (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Hearts (W) 57%, draw 22%, Hibernian (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Hearts (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Hearts (W) 2.26 · Hibernian (W) 1.36), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hearts (W) vs Hibernian (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.