Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Celtic (W) vs Rangers (W)

Team pages: Celtic (W) · Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.49Total

Celtic (W)1.38

Rangers (W)2.11

1X2

24% 23% 53%

Celtic (W) Draw Rangers (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Celtic (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWLWL

Rangers (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Celtic (W) 1–1–4 Rangers (W) (6 last)

Rangers (W)5-2Celtic (W)
Rangers (W)0-1Celtic (W)
Rangers (W)4-0Celtic (W)
Celtic (W)0-3Rangers (W)
Rangers (W)3-3Celtic (W)
Rangers (W)3-2Celtic (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Celtic (W) 1534 · Rangers (W) 1619

	Celtic (W)	Draw	Rangers (W)
Our model	24%	23%	53%
Market	24%	24%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rangers (W) (rating 1534 vs 1619).
H2H favours Rangers (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Celtic (W)	Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	3.3 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	1.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	89/0/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.80

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +30’	3.80	3.80	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Celtic (W) 1–1–4 Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	5-2 HT 2-1	Celtic (W)
31/05/26 Scotland FA Cup Women	Rangers (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Celtic (W)
17/05/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	Celtic (W)
06/04/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Celtic (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Rangers (W)
01/02/26 Scotland SWPL Cup Women	Rangers (W)	3-3 HT 2-3	Celtic (W)
14/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Rangers (W)	3-2 HT 1-1	Celtic (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	11	11	0	0	37	7	33
2	Hearts (W)	11	8	1	2	36	12	25
3	Celtic (W)	11	8	0	3	27	15	24
4	Glasgow City (W)	10	6	2	2	36	11	20
5	Hibernian (W)	11	6	1	4	31	16	19
6	Motherwell (W)	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
7	Montrose LFC (W)	11	3	0	8	16	32	9
8	Spartans (W)	11	2	2	7	8	37	8
9	Partick Thistle (W)	10	2	2	6	14	25	5
10	Aberdeen (W)	11	0	1	10	5	35	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Celtic (W)	Rangers (W)
Motherwell (W)	1-3 L	4-0 W
Hibernian (W)	1-0 W	4-2 W
Hearts (W)	2-4 L	1-0 W
Aberdeen (W)	6-0 W	3-1 W
Spartans (W)	4-0 W	7-0 W
Partick Thistle (W)	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rangers (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Celtic (W)

WWWWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-3	4	2	L
04/11	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/10	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-2	2-4	3	6	L
18/10	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	6-0	7	2	W
04/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	9	4	W
27/09	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-5	4	1	L
18/09	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
06/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
30/08	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
23/08	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	15	0	W

Rangers (W)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/10	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
21/10	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
18/10	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	4-2	2	4	W
04/10	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-0	7	2	W
27/09	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-1	5-2	8	1	W
20/09	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	3-1	11	0	W
06/09	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	10	4	W
30/08	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	1	2	W
23/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	7-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Celtic (W) vs Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rangers (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Celtic (W) 24%, draw 23%, Rangers (W) 53%.

How many goals are expected in Celtic (W) vs Rangers (W)?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Celtic (W) 1.38 · Rangers (W) 2.11), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Celtic (W) vs Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.