Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 15/11, 14:00

Prediction: Glasgow City (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)

Team pages: Glasgow City (W) · Montrose LFC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.68Total

Glasgow City (W)3.34

Montrose LFC (W)1.34

1X2

84% 9% 7%

Glasgow City (W) Draw Montrose LFC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Glasgow City (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWWLW

Montrose LFC (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Glasgow City (W) 6–0 Montrose LFC (W) (6 last)

Montrose LFC (W)1-3Glasgow City (W)
Montrose LFC (W)1-6Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)5-0Montrose LFC (W)
Glasgow City (W)8-0Montrose LFC (W)
Montrose LFC (W)0-7Glasgow City (W)
Montrose LFC (W)1-5Glasgow City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Glasgow City (W) 1602 · Montrose LFC (W) 1436

	Glasgow City (W)	Draw	Montrose LFC (W)
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	92%	6%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.68 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1602 vs 1436).
H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Glasgow City (W)	Montrose LFC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.6 / 1.1	1.5 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	44/11/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.3	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.02

X17.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4)1.88

2 (+4)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02
X	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
2	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +7’	1.02	17.00	34.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Glasgow City (W) 6–0–0 Montrose LFC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/10/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-3 HT 0-2	Glasgow City (W)
16/11/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-6 HT 0-3	Glasgow City (W)
07/09/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	5-0	Montrose LFC (W)
09/02/25 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	8-0	Montrose LFC (W)
11/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	0-7 HT 0-1	Glasgow City (W)
11/02/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Montrose LFC (W)	1-5 HT 1-1	Glasgow City (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	11	11	0	0	37	7	33
2	Hearts (W)	11	8	1	2	36	12	25
3	Celtic (W)	11	8	0	3	27	15	24
4	Glasgow City (W)	10	6	2	2	36	11	20
5	Hibernian (W)	11	6	1	4	31	16	19
6	Motherwell (W)	11	3	1	7	8	28	10
7	Montrose LFC (W)	11	3	0	8	16	32	9
8	Spartans (W)	11	2	2	7	8	37	8
9	Partick Thistle (W)	10	2	2	6	14	25	5
10	Aberdeen (W)	11	0	1	10	5	35	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Glasgow City (W)	Montrose LFC (W)
Spartans (W)	10-1 W	3-0 W
Motherwell (W)	3-0 W	1-3 L
Hearts (W)	2-2 D	1-2 L
Partick Thistle (W)	4-1 W	4-1 W
Hibernian (W)	2-2 D	1-6 L
Aberdeen (W)	3-0 W	2-0 W
Celtic (W)	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glasgow City (W)

LWWDWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	4-0	10-1	14	0	W
21/10	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
18/10	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
04/10	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
27/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	4-1	3	0	W
04/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-2	9	2	D
30/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
23/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
16/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-2	3	2	L

Montrose LFC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/11	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-2	1	3	L
08/11	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	4-1	5	2	W
21/10	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
18/10	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	11	2	W
04/10	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
27/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	2-3	2	2	L
20/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	1-6	3	2	L
06/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-7	3	1	L
30/08	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-3	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glasgow City (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Glasgow City (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Glasgow City (W) 84%, draw 9%, Montrose LFC (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Glasgow City (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?

The model expects 4.68 goals (Glasgow City (W) 3.34 · Montrose LFC (W) 1.34), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Glasgow City (W) vs Montrose LFC (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.