Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 08/11, 14:00
Prediction: Hibernian (W) vs Aberdeen (W)
Team pages: Hibernian (W) · Aberdeen (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.54Total
Hibernian (W)3.27
Aberdeen (W)1.27
1X2
Hibernian (W)
Draw
Aberdeen (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Hibernian (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Aberdeen (W)
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hibernian (W)
6–0
Aberdeen (W)
(6 last)
- Aberdeen (W)0-2Hibernian (W)
- Aberdeen (W)0-3Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)5-1Aberdeen (W)
- Hibernian (W)3-0Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)1-7Hibernian (W)
- Hibernian (W)7-0Aberdeen (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hibernian (W) 1562 · Aberdeen (W) 1370
| Hibernian (W) | Draw | Aberdeen (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 94% | 4% | 2% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.54 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hibernian (W) (rating 1562 vs 1370).
- H2H favours Hibernian (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hibernian (W) | Aberdeen (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.4 | 0.3 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hibernian (W) 6–0–0 Aberdeen (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 22/02/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Hibernian (W) |
| 17/08/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 19/01/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Hibernian (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 03/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 1-7 HT 1-1 | Hibernian (W) |
| 18/08/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Hibernian (W) | 7-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 7 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hibernian (W) | Aberdeen (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic (W) | 0-1 L | 0-6 L |
| Spartans (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Rangers (W) | 2-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Hearts (W) | 2-3 L | 0-6 L |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 6-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Glasgow City (W) | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Motherwell (W) | 7-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Hibernian (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hibernian (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/10 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 20/09 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Aberdeen (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 06/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hibernian (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hibernian (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Hibernian (W) 86%, draw 8%, Aberdeen (W) 6%.
How many goals are expected in Hibernian (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?
The model expects 4.54 goals (Hibernian (W) 3.27 · Aberdeen (W) 1.27), with a 58% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hibernian (W) vs Aberdeen (W)?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.