Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 08/11, 17:00
Prediction: Motherwell (W) vs Celtic (W)
Team pages: Motherwell (W) · Celtic (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Motherwell (W)0.68
Celtic (W)2.68
1X2
Motherwell (W)
Draw
Celtic (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Motherwell (W)
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Celtic (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motherwell (W)
0–6
Celtic (W)
(6 last)
- Celtic (W)1-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-2Celtic (W)
- Celtic (W)7-1Motherwell (W)
- Celtic (W)6-0Motherwell (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-1Celtic (W)
- Motherwell (W)0-4Celtic (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Motherwell (W) 1423 · Celtic (W) 1576
| Motherwell (W) | Draw | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 4% | 9% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Celtic (W) (rating 1423 vs 1576).
- H2H favours Celtic (W): 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motherwell (W) | Celtic (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.7 | 2.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 3.2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motherwell (W) 0–0–6 Celtic (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 18/01/26 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Celtic (W) |
| 12/10/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 7-1 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 18/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Celtic (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Motherwell (W) |
| 20/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Celtic (W) |
| 03/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Motherwell (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Celtic (W) |
Standings · Scotland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers (W) | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 30 |
| 2 | Celtic (W) | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Hearts (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Glasgow City (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 17 |
| 5 | Hibernian (W) | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Partick Thistle (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 7 | Spartans (W) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell (W) | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 7 |
| 9 | Montrose LFC (W) | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 6 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motherwell (W) | Celtic (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers (W) | 0-4 L | 2-5 L |
| Partick Thistle (W) | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Glasgow City (W) | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Aberdeen (W) | 1-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Spartans (W) | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Montrose LFC (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Hearts (W) | 0-5 L | 2-4 L |
| Hibernian (W) | 0-7 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 6 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Celtic (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motherwell (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/10 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/09 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 1 | L |
Celtic (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/10 | Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/09 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motherwell (W) vs Celtic (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Celtic (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Motherwell (W) 5%, draw 11%, Celtic (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Motherwell (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Motherwell (W) 0.68 · Celtic (W) 2.68), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Motherwell (W) vs Celtic (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.