Football · Scotland Premier League Women · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Spartans (W) vs Glasgow City (W)

Team pages: Spartans (W) · Glasgow City (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Spartans (W)1.15

Glasgow City (W)3.15

1X2

6% 9% 85%

Spartans (W) Draw Glasgow City (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartans (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Glasgow City (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Spartans (W) 0–6 Glasgow City (W) (6 last)

Glasgow City (W)7-0Spartans (W)
Glasgow City (W)6-0Spartans (W)
Spartans (W)0-2Glasgow City (W)
Spartans (W)1-5Glasgow City (W)
Glasgow City (W)3-0Spartans (W)
Spartans (W)0-4Glasgow City (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartans (W) 1429 · Glasgow City (W) 1583

	Spartans (W)	Draw	Glasgow City (W)
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	2%	5%	93%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glasgow City (W) (rating 1429 vs 1583).
H2H favours Glasgow City (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartans (W)	Glasgow City (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.7	3.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/56/44%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 1.8	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

141.00

X19.00

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.75)1.93

2 (-3.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.88

Under 4.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	41.00 → 41.00	Bet365 41.00
X	19.00 → 19.00	Bet365 19.00
2	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +6’	41.00	19.00	1.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartans (W) 0–0–6 Glasgow City (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	7-0 HT 3-0	Spartans (W)
24/11/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	6-0 HT 2-0	Spartans (W)
01/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Spartans (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Glasgow City (W)
14/01/24 Scotland Premier League Women	Spartans (W)	1-5 HT 1-2	Glasgow City (W)
08/10/23 Scotland Premier League Women	Glasgow City (W)	3-0 HT 1-0	Spartans (W)
11/01/23 Scotland Premier League Women	Spartans (W)	0-4 HT 0-1	Glasgow City (W)

Standings · Scotland Premier League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rangers (W)	10	10	0	0	36	7	30
2	Celtic (W)	10	8	0	2	26	12	24
3	Hearts (W)	9	7	1	1	34	10	22
4	Glasgow City (W)	9	5	2	2	26	10	17
5	Hibernian (W)	10	5	1	4	26	14	16
6	Partick Thistle (W)	9	2	2	5	13	21	8
7	Spartans (W)	10	2	2	6	7	27	8
8	Motherwell (W)	10	2	1	7	5	27	7
9	Montrose LFC (W)	9	2	0	7	11	29	6
10	Aberdeen (W)	10	0	1	9	3	30	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartans (W)	Glasgow City (W)
Aberdeen (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Hibernian (W)	0-2 L	2-2 D
Montrose LFC (W)	0-3 L	3-1 W
Celtic (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
Motherwell (W)	2-0 W	3-0 W
Hearts (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Rangers (W)	0-7 L	1-2 L
Partick Thistle (W)	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Glasgow City (W) (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartans (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/11	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
21/10	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
18/10	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
04/10	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	0	4	L
27/09	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	2-0	1	1	W
20/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
06/09	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
30/08	Glasgow City (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-3	0-7	0	1	L
23/08	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	–	0-7	–	–	L
16/08	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Glasgow City (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
18/10	Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	6	3	W
04/10	Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
27/09	Hearts (W) Scotland Premier League Women	0-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Partick Thistle (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-1	4-1	3	0	W
04/09	Hibernian (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	2-2	9	2	D
30/08	Spartans (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	7-0	10	1	W
23/08	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
16/08	Celtic (W) Scotland Premier League Women	1-2	1-2	3	2	L
24/05	Rangers (W) Scotland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	8	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartans (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Glasgow City (W) win (85%). Probabilities: Spartans (W) 6%, draw 9%, Glasgow City (W) 85%.

How many goals are expected in Spartans (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Spartans (W) 1.15 · Glasgow City (W) 3.15), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartans (W) vs Glasgow City (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.