Football · Scotland Women Premier League 2 · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Kilmarnock (W) vs Livingston (W)

Team pages: Kilmarnock (W) · Livingston (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.47Total
Kilmarnock (W)3.23
Livingston (W)1.23
1X2
82% 11% 7%
Kilmarnock (W) Draw Livingston (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
3-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Kilmarnock (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLWWLW
Livingston (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWLLLL
Head-to-head
Kilmarnock (W) 2–0 Livingston (W) (2 last)
  • Livingston (W)0-6Kilmarnock (W)
  • Kilmarnock (W)5-0Livingston (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kilmarnock (W) 1526 · Livingston (W) 1456
Kilmarnock (W)DrawLivingston (W)
Our model76%14%10%
Market88%8%4%
Estimated total (ours) 4.47 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilmarnock (W) (rating 1526 vs 1456).
  • H2H favours Kilmarnock (W): 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kilmarnock (W)Livingston (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.42.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 11 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 83 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilmarnock (W) 200 Livingston (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/12/25
Scotland Women Premier League 2
Livingston (W)0-6Kilmarnock (W)
28/09/25
Scotland Women Premier League 2
Kilmarnock (W)5-0Livingston (W)

Standings · Scotland Women Premier League 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 4400 11212
2 Kilmarnock (W) 4301 1549
3 Queens Park (W) 4301 1129
4 Falkirk (W) 4220 638
5 Dundee Utd (W) 4211 987
6 Hamilton (W) 4112 674
7 St Johnstone (W) 4112 7134
8 Gartcairn FC (W) 4103 6103
9 Renfrew FC (W) 4013 2161
10 Livingston (W) 4004 2100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKilmarnock (W)Livingston (W)
St Johnstone (W) 7-0 W 1-3 L
Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 0-3 L 1-3 L
Gartcairn FC (W) 2-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kilmarnock (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kilmarnock (W)

LLWDLLWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 St Johnstone (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
7-0 W
30/08 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-3 L
23/08 Dundee Utd (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
3-0 W
16/08 Renfrew FC (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
5-1 W
17/05 Queens Park (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-2 L
10/05 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-1 0-1 92 L
03/05 Dundee Utd (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
1-1 2-2 70 D
29/04 Gartcairn FC (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
2-0 W
24/04 Spartans (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-2 L
05/04 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
2-3 L

Livingston (W)

WWWDWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
1-3 L
30/08 Falkirk (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-2 L
23/08 Gartcairn FC (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-2 L
16/08 St Johnstone (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
1-2 1-3 42 L
17/05 Stirling Uni FC (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
6-1 W
10/05 St Johnstone (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
5-0 W
26/04 East Fife (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
0-0 D
05/04 St Johnstone (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
5-2 W
22/03 East Fife (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
4-0 W
15/03 Stirling Uni FC (W)
Scotland Women Premier League 2
6-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kilmarnock (W) vs Livingston (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kilmarnock (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Kilmarnock (W) 82%, draw 11%, Livingston (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Kilmarnock (W) vs Livingston (W)?

The model expects 4.47 goals (Kilmarnock (W) 3.23 · Livingston (W) 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kilmarnock (W) vs Livingston (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.