Prediction: Ferroviario Beira vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
Expected goals: 1.37 (Ferroviario Beira 0.92 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 0.45). The model gives 47% home, 35% draw, 19% away. Under 1.75 goals (57%) and not both to score (59%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Ferroviario Beira with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Clube Ferroviário de Nacala has piled up 6-4-0 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Ferroviario Beira and 1 for Clube Ferroviário de Nacala.
| Ferroviario Beira | Draw | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 39% | 17% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Clube Ferroviário de Nacala (rating 1532 vs 1573).
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferroviario Beira | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.1 | 0 / 2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferroviario Beira 1–0–1 Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ferroviario Beira |
| 27/06/25 Mozambique Mocambola | Ferroviario Beira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
Standings · Mozambique Mocambola
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferroviario Beira | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | UD Songo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Black Bulls | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Costa Do Sol | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Ferroviario de Nampula | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | LD Sofala | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Vilankulo FC | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Ferroviario Maputo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Chingale de Tete | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Baía de Pemba F.C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | CD Maxaquene | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferroviario Beira | Clube Ferroviário de Nacala |
|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario de Nampula | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Costa Do Sol | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Chingale de Tete | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| LD Sofala | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferroviario Beira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 2-2 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Ferroviario Maputo Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/06 | Black Bulls Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | CD Maxaquene Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/12 | GDRT Textafrica Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/11 | UD Songo Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Clube Ferroviário de Nacala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | LD Sofala Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Ferroviario Lichinga Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Vilankulo FC Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Baía de Pemba F.C Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | AD Pemba Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Ferroviario de Nampula Mozambique Mocambola |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/11 | Chingale de Tete Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/11 | Desportivo Da Matola Mozambique Mocambola |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/11 | Costa Do Sol Mozambique Mocambola |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferroviario Beira vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferroviario Beira win (47%). Probabilities: Ferroviario Beira 47%, draw 35%, Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 19%.
How many goals are expected in Ferroviario Beira vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
The model expects 1.37 goals (Ferroviario Beira 0.92 · Clube Ferroviário de Nacala 0.45), with a 57% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferroviario Beira vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala?
The model gives a 59% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.