Football · Poland II Liga · 13/11, 18:00

Prediction: Znicz Pruszków vs Sokol Kleczew

Team pages: Znicz Pruszków · Sokol Kleczew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Znicz Pruszków2.09

Sokol Kleczew1.22

1X2

56% 22% 21%

Znicz Pruszków Draw Sokol Kleczew

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Znicz Pruszków 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Sokol Kleczew 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLDWWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Znicz Pruszków 1543 · Sokol Kleczew 1506

	Znicz Pruszków	Draw	Sokol Kleczew
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Znicz Pruszków	Sokol Kleczew
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.00

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +5’	1.57	4.00	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	15	10	3	2	29	17	33
2	Gornik Leczna	15	9	2	4	33	15	29
3	GKS Tychy 71	14	7	6	1	20	9	27
4	Chojniczanka Chojnice	15	7	3	5	26	24	24
5	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	14	6	4	4	26	20	22
6	Legia Warsaw II	15	7	1	7	30	25	22
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	15	6	4	5	23	20	22
8	Podhale Nowy Targ	15	5	7	3	26	24	22
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	15	6	4	5	24	26	22
10	Olimpia Grudziadz	15	6	4	5	19	22	22
11	Hutnik Krakow	15	6	3	6	24	22	21
12	Avia Swidnik	15	6	2	7	18	22	20
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	15	6	1	8	24	28	19
14	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	15	5	3	7	20	19	18
15	Sokol Kleczew	15	4	6	5	21	30	18
16	OKS Swit Skolwin	15	3	4	8	19	32	13
17	Slask Wroclaw II	15	3	1	11	22	33	10
18	Resovia Rzeszow	15	0	6	9	9	25	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Znicz Pruszków	Sokol Kleczew
Gornik Leczna	0-3 L	0-4 L
Avia Swidnik	2-0 W	2-2 D
Stal Stalowa Wola	4-2 W	2-1 W
Hutnik Krakow	4-2 W	1-2 L
Slask Wroclaw II	3-2 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Znicz Pruszków (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Znicz Pruszków

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
31/10	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
25/10	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	0	8	W
18/10	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
11/10	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
04/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	3-1	4-2	4	5	W
19/09	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
11/09	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
06/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-2	4-2	4	8	W
29/08	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-1	3-2	11	2	W

Sokol Kleczew

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	3-2	6	4	W
31/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
23/10	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	2-0	4-2	4	3	W
18/10	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
11/10	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
03/10	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	6	11	L
18/09	Avia Swidnik Poland II Liga	2-0	2-2	3	7	D
11/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	9	8	D
05/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
29/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Znicz Pruszków vs Sokol Kleczew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Znicz Pruszków win (56%). Probabilities: Znicz Pruszków 56%, draw 22%, Sokol Kleczew 21%.

How many goals are expected in Znicz Pruszków vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Znicz Pruszków 2.09 · Sokol Kleczew 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Znicz Pruszków vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.