Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: Suduva Marijampole II vs FK Silute

Team pages: Suduva Marijampole II · FK Silute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Suduva Marijampole II2.11

FK Silute1.19

1X2

58% 22% 20%

Suduva Marijampole II Draw FK Silute

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Suduva Marijampole II 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWLLWD

FK Silute 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDWLLD

Head-to-head

Suduva Marijampole II 1–3–2 FK Silute (6 last)

FK Silute1-1Suduva Marijampole II
FK Silute0-4Suduva Marijampole II
Suduva Marijampole II2-3FK Silute
Suduva Marijampole II1-1FK Silute
FK Silute3-2Suduva Marijampole II
Suduva Marijampole II2-2FK Silute

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suduva Marijampole II 1539 · FK Silute 1437

	Suduva Marijampole II	Draw	FK Silute
Our model	58%	22%	20%
Market	59%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suduva Marijampole II (rating 1539 vs 1437).
H2H favours FK Silute: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Suduva Marijampole II	FK Silute
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	1.4 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.9	3.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +1’	1.53	4.33	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Suduva Marijampole II 1–3–2 FK Silute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	1-1 HT 1-1	Suduva Marijampole II
28/10/25 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	0-4 HT 0-2	Suduva Marijampole II
18/06/25 Lithuania II Lyga	Suduva Marijampole II	2-3 HT 1-0	FK Silute
04/10/24 Lithuania II Lyga	Suduva Marijampole II	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Silute
16/06/24 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	3-2 HT 1-2	Suduva Marijampole II
10/09/23 Lithuania II Lyga	Suduva Marijampole II	2-2 HT 1-0	FK Silute

Standings · Lithuania II Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nevezis	14	10	3	1	33	10	33
2	Vilnius Football Academy	14	9	3	2	47	17	30
3	Suduva Marijampole II	14	8	3	3	26	17	27
4	FM Klaipedos	14	8	2	4	24	16	26
5	FK Sveikata	14	7	3	4	28	19	24
6	FK Panevezys II	14	6	5	3	35	24	23
7	FK Sirvena	14	6	4	4	27	19	22
8	Sirijus Klaipeda	14	5	4	5	26	23	19
9	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	14	5	3	6	26	25	18
10	FKS Ukmerge	14	5	2	7	20	20	17
11	Banga Gargzdai II	14	4	3	7	19	20	15
12	FK Silute	14	3	4	7	18	28	13
13	Utenis Utena	14	3	3	8	15	33	12
14	FK Viltis Vilnius	14	2	2	10	18	54	8
15	DFK Dainava II	14	2	0	12	18	55	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Suduva Marijampole II	FK Silute
FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	3-2 W	2-2 D
Banga Gargzdai II	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Sveikata	0-1 L	0-2 L
FK Panevezys II	1-0 W	4-4 D
Nevezis	1-1 D	0-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Suduva Marijampole II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suduva Marijampole II

WWWLDWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	FK Silute Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
28/06	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	3-2	2	1	W
22/06	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/06	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
10/06	FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/05	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
22/05	Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga	0-2	0-4	1	8	L
14/05	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	1-0	5-0	3	2	W
08/05	FK Sirvena Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	2-0	4-1	8	5	W

FK Silute

LDLLDDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/07	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/06	FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/06	Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/06	DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
05/06	FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga	3-1	4-4	–	–	D
24/04	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	0-2	0-5	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suduva Marijampole II vs FK Silute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suduva Marijampole II win (58%). Probabilities: Suduva Marijampole II 58%, draw 22%, FK Silute 20%.

How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole II vs FK Silute?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Suduva Marijampole II 2.11 · FK Silute 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole II vs FK Silute?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.