Football · Lithuania II Lyga · 14/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Sirvena vs FK Silute

Team pages: FK Sirvena · FK Silute

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

FK Sirvena2.21

FK Silute1.14

1X2

61% 21% 18%

FK Sirvena Draw FK Silute

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

FK Sirvena 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDDWDL

FK Silute 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDDWLLDLW

Head-to-head

FK Sirvena 2–3 FK Silute (5 last)

FK Silute1-3FK Sirvena
FK Silute4-2FK Sirvena
FK Sirvena5-2FK Silute
FK Silute2-1FK Sirvena
FK Sirvena0-5FK Silute

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Sirvena 1524 · FK Silute 1452

	FK Sirvena	Draw	FK Silute
Our model	61%	22%	18%
Market	61%	20%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sirvena (rating 1524 vs 1452).
H2H favours FK Silute: 3-0-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Sirvena	FK Silute
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/80/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.1	2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.45	Bet365 1.45
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:01 +4’	1.45	4.50	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sirvena 2–0–3 FK Silute

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	1-3 HT 1-1	FK Sirvena
10/11/25 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	4-2 HT 1-1	FK Sirvena
28/06/25 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Sirvena	5-2 HT 2-2	FK Silute
02/11/24 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Silute	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Sirvena
07/07/24 Lithuania II Lyga	FK Sirvena	0-5 HT 0-2	FK Silute

Standings · Lithuania II Lyga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nevezis	15	11	3	1	35	11	36
2	Vilnius Football Academy	16	10	4	2	53	20	34
3	Suduva Marijampole II	16	9	3	4	32	18	30
4	FM Klaipedos	16	9	2	5	26	18	29
5	FK Sveikata	16	7	5	4	32	23	26
6	FKS Ukmerge	16	7	2	7	24	22	23
7	FK Panevezys II	16	6	5	5	37	30	23
8	FK Sirvena	16	6	5	5	28	21	23
9	Sirijus Klaipeda	15	6	4	5	31	25	22
10	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	17	6	3	8	31	32	21
11	Banga Gargzdai II	16	5	4	7	23	20	19
12	FK Silute	16	4	4	8	21	36	16
13	Utenis Utena	17	4	4	9	21	41	16
14	FK Viltis Vilnius	16	3	2	11	22	58	11
15	DFK Dainava II	16	2	0	14	21	62	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Sirvena	FK Silute
FK Neptunas Klaipeda II	1-2 L	2-2 D
Banga Gargzdai II	0-0 D	1-2 L
FK Sveikata	1-1 D	0-2 L
FK Viltis Vilnius	2-2 D	3-2 W
Suduva Marijampole II	0-1 L	0-6 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Sirvena (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Sirvena

LDWDWDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
31/07	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
03/07	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
28/06	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/06	FK Panevezys II Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	2-2	11	6	D
12/06	Nevezis Lithuania II Lyga	2-0	3-2	5	7	W
05/06	Vilnius Football Academy Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
30/05	Utenis Utena Lithuania II Lyga	2-0	3-0	10	7	W
17/05	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
08/05	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

FK Silute

LLDDWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FK Viltis Vilnius Lithuania II Lyga	2-1	3-2	10	4	W
01/08	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	0-3	0-6	1	2	L
04/07	Suduva Marijampole II Lithuania II Lyga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/06	FKS Ukmerge Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
19/06	Sirijus Klaipeda Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/06	DFK Dainava II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-1	1	5	W
05/06	FM Klaipedos Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	FK Neptunas Klaipeda II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Banga Gargzdai II Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
09/05	FK Sveikata Lithuania II Lyga	0-0	0-2	0	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Sirvena vs FK Silute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Sirvena win (61%). Probabilities: FK Sirvena 61%, draw 21%, FK Silute 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Sirvena vs FK Silute?

The model expects 3.35 goals (FK Sirvena 2.21 · FK Silute 1.14), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Sirvena vs FK Silute?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.