Prediction: Larne FC vs Limavady United

Team pages: Larne FC · Limavady United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Larne FC1.84
Limavady United0.73
1X2
64% 21% 15%
Larne FC Draw Limavady United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Larne FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWWLLDDD
Limavady United 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWWLLDLWLL
Head-to-head
Larne FC 4–1–1 Limavady United (6 last)
  • Limavady United0-0Larne FC
  • Larne FC4-0Limavady United
  • Larne FC6-0Limavady United
  • Limavady United1-3Larne FC
  • Limavady United1-0Larne FC
  • Larne FC2-1Limavady United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Larne FC 1522 · Limavady United 1469
Larne FCDrawLimavady United
Our model63%24%13%
Market65%19%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larne FC (rating 1522 vs 1469).
  • H2H favours Larne FC: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Larne FCLimavady United
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.20.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%14/57/29%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.71 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.21 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC 411 Limavady United

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/01/25
Northern Ireland Cup
Limavady United0-0
HT 0-0
Larne FC
14/09/21
Northern Ireland League Cup
Larne FC4-0
HT 1-0
Limavady United
17/11/18
Northern Ireland Championship
Larne FC6-0Limavady United
06/10/18
Northern Ireland Championship
Limavady United1-3Larne FC
23/03/18
Northern Ireland Championship
Limavady United1-0Larne FC
17/02/18
Northern Ireland Championship
Larne FC2-1Limavady United

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Cliftonville 2200 516
2 Carrick Rangers 2200 316
3 Coleraine 2110 314
4 Ballymena Utd 2101 423
5 Glentoran 2101 323
6 Crusaders 2101 333
7 Dungannon Swifts 2101 233
8 Linfield 2101 243
9 Larne FC 1010 001
10 Portadown 2002 020
11 Limavady United 2002 140
12 Bangor FC 1001 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLarne FCLimavady United
Coleraine 0-0 D 0-1 L
HW Welders 2-1 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Larne FC (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larne FC

DWDWWLLDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Coleraine
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-0 D
11/08 FC Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-0 1-1 27 D
04/08 FC Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-0 0-0 43 D
29/07 Crvena Zvezda
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
0-2 0-5 10 L
21/07 Crvena Zvezda
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
0-1 0-4 03 L
14/07 Tre Fiori
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
1-1 2-1 59 W
07/07 Tre Fiori
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
1-0 1-0 53 W
03/07 Coleraine
Northern Ireland Charity Shield
0-0 0-0 25 D
29/06 HW Welders
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-1 90 W
20/06 Stranraer
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 50 D

Limavady United

DWWLLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Carrick Rangers
Northern Ireland Premier
0-2 1-2 L
08/08 Glentoran
Northern Ireland Premier
0-0 0-2 25 L
01/08 Strabane Athletic
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 20 W
24/07 Linfield
UK Friendlies
0-1 0-1 10 L
11/07 Ballinamallard Utd
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 90 D
07/07 Coleraine
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 10 L
24/04 Queens University
Northern Ireland Championship
0-1 L
18/04 Annagh United
Northern Ireland Championship
1-0 2-0 42 W
11/04 Newington FC
Northern Ireland Championship
5-1 W
03/04 HW Welders
Northern Ireland Championship
0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larne FC vs Limavady United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC win (64%). Probabilities: Larne FC 64%, draw 21%, Limavady United 15%.

How many goals are expected in Larne FC vs Limavady United?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Larne FC 1.84 · Limavady United 0.73), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Larne FC vs Limavady United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.