Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Larne FC vs Linfield

Team pages: Larne FC · Linfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.22Total

Larne FC1.33

Linfield0.88

1X2

46% 31% 23%

Larne FC Draw Linfield

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Larne FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWDWWWWW

Linfield 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWDWW

Head-to-head

Larne FC 2–3–1 Linfield (6 last)

Linfield0-2Larne FC
Larne FC1-1Linfield
Linfield0-0Larne FC
Larne FC0-0Linfield
Larne FC2-1Linfield
Linfield1-0Larne FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Larne FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Larne FC	Linfield
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.78

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.85
X	3.53 → 3.57▲	Pinn 3.57
2	3.97 → 4.02▲	Pinn 4.02

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:02 +27’	1.83	3.53	3.97
17:45 +49’	1.85▲	3.57▲	4.02▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC 2–3–1 Linfield

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-2 HT 0-1	Larne FC
24/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Linfield
16/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-0 HT 0-0	Larne FC
05/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Linfield
18/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Linfield
11/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	1-0 HT 0-0	Larne FC

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	9	7	1	1	19	8	22
2	Linfield	9	7	1	1	12	6	22
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Crusaders	9	5	0	4	15	14	15
5	Glentoran	9	4	1	4	13	10	13
6	Dungannon Swifts	8	4	1	3	9	8	13
7	Cliftonville	9	4	0	5	12	11	12
8	Carrick Rangers	9	3	1	5	11	15	10
9	Ballymena Utd	8	2	3	3	12	11	9
10	Limavady United	8	3	0	5	7	11	9
11	Bangor FC	9	1	2	6	8	19	5
12	Portadown	9	0	1	8	5	19	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Larne FC	Linfield
Carrick Rangers	5-2 W	1-0 W
Cliftonville	2-0 W	1-0 W
Portadown	2-0 W	1-1 D
Glentoran	2-1 W	2-1 W
Coleraine	0-0 D	3-1 W
Dungannon Swifts	8-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Larne FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larne FC

LWDWDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	3-2	5-2	4	4	W
15/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
08/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
15/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	8-0	5	2	W
17/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
11/04	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
07/04	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-4	2	3	L

Linfield

WLWWWWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	7	0	L
12/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larne FC vs Linfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC win (46%). Probabilities: Larne FC 46%, draw 31%, Linfield 23%.

How many goals are expected in Larne FC vs Linfield?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Larne FC 1.33 · Linfield 0.88), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Larne FC vs Linfield?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.