Football · Austria Bundesliga · 23/08, 17:00
Prediction: FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol
Team pages: FK Austria Vienna · WSG Swarovski Tirol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
FK Austria Vienna1.94
WSG Swarovski Tirol1.09
1X2
FK Austria Vienna
Draw
WSG Swarovski Tirol
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Austria Vienna
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WSG Swarovski Tirol
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Austria Vienna
4–1–1
WSG Swarovski Tirol
(6 last)
- FK Austria Vienna0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol2-3FK Austria Vienna
- WSG Swarovski Tirol0-2FK Austria Vienna
- FK Austria Vienna3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-0FK Austria Vienna
- FK Austria Vienna3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Austria Vienna 1549 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1456
| FK Austria Vienna | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Austria Vienna (rating 1549 vs 1456).
- H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Austria Vienna | WSG Swarovski Tirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.1 | 2.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Austria Vienna 4–1–1 WSG Swarovski Tirol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 18/10/25 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2-3 HT 1-2 | FK Austria Vienna |
| 16/03/25 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Austria Vienna |
| 26/10/24 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 3-0 HT 0-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 23/04/24 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Austria Vienna |
| 20/04/24 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 3-0 HT 2-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | LASK Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | SV Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | FK Austria Vienna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
| 11 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Austria Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Beitar Jerusalem UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 06/08 | Beitar Jerusalem UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | FK Liepaja UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Wiener Sportclub Austria Cup |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/07 | FK Liepaja UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Paksi Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | Dunajska Streda Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
WSG Swarovski Tirol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | SC Wieselburg Austria Cup |
2-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Hertha Berlin Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/07 | Polissya Zhytomyr Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Gornik Zabrze Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | FK Qarabag Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Zirl Club Friendly List |
– | 16-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Austria Vienna win (56%). Probabilities: FK Austria Vienna 56%, draw 25%, WSG Swarovski Tirol 20%.
How many goals are expected in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The model expects 3.03 goals (FK Austria Vienna 1.94 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.