Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 08/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Arsenal vs FK Decic Tuzi

Team pages: FK Arsenal · FK Decic Tuzi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

FK Arsenal0.94

FK Decic Tuzi1.43

1X2

24% 29% 47%

FK Arsenal Draw FK Decic Tuzi

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Arsenal 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDDDLLLW

FK Decic Tuzi 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWLDLD

Head-to-head

FK Arsenal 1–2–3 FK Decic Tuzi (6 last)

FK Decic Tuzi0-0FK Arsenal
FK Decic Tuzi4-1FK Arsenal
FK Decic Tuzi1-2FK Arsenal
FK Arsenal0-1FK Decic Tuzi
FK Decic Tuzi4-2FK Arsenal
FK Arsenal1-1FK Decic Tuzi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Arsenal 1448 · FK Decic Tuzi 1517

	FK Arsenal	Draw	FK Decic Tuzi
Our model	24%	29%	47%
Market	24%	29%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Decic Tuzi (rating 1448 vs 1517).
H2H favours FK Decic Tuzi: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Arsenal	FK Decic Tuzi
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.10

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.62 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.24
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +5’	3.80	3.10	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:56 +84’	4.62	3.24	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal 1–2–3 FK Decic Tuzi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Arsenal
04/07/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Decic Tuzi	4-1 HT 1-1	FK Arsenal
20/05/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	1-2 HT 0-0	FK Arsenal
21/03/26 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Arsenal	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Decic Tuzi
30/11/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Decic Tuzi	4-2 HT 2-1	FK Arsenal
21/09/25 Montenegro Prva Liga	FK Arsenal	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Decic Tuzi

Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sutjeska Niksic	9	4	2	3	11	7	14
2	FK Decic Tuzi	8	4	2	2	9	6	14
3	Buducnost Podgorica	9	4	2	3	11	7	14
4	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	8	4	1	3	11	9	13
5	FK Mornar Bar	8	3	3	2	8	6	12
6	FK Bokelj	8	3	3	2	5	5	12
7	OFK Mladost DG	8	3	1	4	8	12	10
8	FK Jezero	8	2	3	3	8	11	9
9	OFK Petrovac	9	1	5	3	7	9	8
10	FK Arsenal	9	1	4	4	5	11	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Arsenal	FK Decic Tuzi
OFK Petrovac	2-1 W	1-1 D
OFK Mladost DG	0-1 L	0-2 L
FK Jezero	2-5 L	2-1 W
Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj	1-2 L	3-0 W
FK Bokelj	0-0 D	1-0 W
Buducnost Podgorica	0-0 D	2-0 W
FK Mornar Bar	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Decic Tuzi (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Arsenal

WLDDDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
10/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
05/09	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	2-2	2-5	0	4	L
30/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	8	7	L
23/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
07/08	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
02/08	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
24/05	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-3	1-4	3	5	L
20/05	FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	1	W

FK Decic Tuzi

LDWWWWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
13/09	Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	6	L
09/09	OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
30/08	FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
23/08	Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
17/08	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
08/08	Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
02/08	FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
24/05	FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	1	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal vs FK Decic Tuzi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Decic Tuzi win (47%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal 24%, draw 29%, FK Decic Tuzi 47%.

How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model expects 2.38 goals (FK Arsenal 0.94 · FK Decic Tuzi 1.43), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Arsenal vs FK Decic Tuzi?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.