Football · Montenegro Prva Liga · 08/10, 18:00
Prediction: FK Bokelj vs OFK Petrovac
Team pages: FK Bokelj · OFK Petrovac
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.56Total
FK Bokelj0.87
OFK Petrovac0.68
1X2
FK Bokelj
Draw
OFK Petrovac
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 22%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Bokelj
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
OFK Petrovac
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Bokelj
2–1–3
OFK Petrovac
(6 last)
- OFK Petrovac0-1FK Bokelj
- FK Bokelj0-1OFK Petrovac
- OFK Petrovac0-0FK Bokelj
- FK Bokelj1-2OFK Petrovac
- OFK Petrovac2-0FK Bokelj
- OFK Petrovac0-1FK Bokelj
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Bokelj 1536 · OFK Petrovac 1463
| FK Bokelj | Draw | OFK Petrovac | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 38% | 25% |
| Market | 40% | 31% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.56 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bokelj (rating 1536 vs 1463).
- H2H favours OFK Petrovac: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Bokelj | OFK Petrovac | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Bokelj 2–1–3 OFK Petrovac
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Bokelj |
| 08/04/26 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Bokelj | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OFK Petrovac |
| 10/12/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Bokelj |
| 01/10/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | FK Bokelj | 1-2 HT 0-0 | OFK Petrovac |
| 04/08/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Bokelj |
| 14/05/25 Montenegro Prva Liga | OFK Petrovac | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Bokelj |
Standings · Montenegro Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutjeska Niksic | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | FK Decic Tuzi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Buducnost Podgorica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 5 | FK Mornar Bar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | FK Bokelj | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | OFK Mladost DG | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | FK Jezero | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | OFK Petrovac | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | FK Arsenal | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Bokelj | OFK Petrovac |
|---|---|---|
| OFK Mladost DG | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Jezero | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Mornar Bar | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Buducnost Podgorica | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| FK Arsenal | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Decic Tuzi | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Sutjeska Niksic | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Bokelj (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Bokelj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 15/09 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/08 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | OFK Petrovac Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
OFK Petrovac
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | FK Arsenal Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | FK Decic Tuzi Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Sutjeska Niksic Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 29/08 | FK Mornar Bar Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | OFK Mladost DG Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | FK Jezero Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Bokelj Montenegro Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Buducnost Podgorica Montenegro Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Bokelj vs OFK Petrovac?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Bokelj win (38%). Probabilities: FK Bokelj 38%, draw 34%, OFK Petrovac 27%.
How many goals are expected in FK Bokelj vs OFK Petrovac?
The model expects 1.56 goals (FK Bokelj 0.87 · OFK Petrovac 0.68), with a 61% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Bokelj vs OFK Petrovac?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.