Football · England League 2 · 26/09, 13:30
Prediction: Crawley Town vs Barnet
Team pages: Crawley Town · Barnet
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Crawley Town1.12
Barnet1.89
1X2
Crawley Town
Draw
Barnet
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Crawley Town
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Barnet
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crawley Town
2–3–1
Barnet
(6 last)
- Crawley Town1-1Barnet
- Barnet2-1Crawley Town
- Crawley Town2-0Barnet
- Barnet1-2Crawley Town
- Barnet2-2Crawley Town
- Crawley Town1-1Barnet
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crawley Town 1429 · Barnet 1590
| Crawley Town | Draw | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnet (rating 1429 vs 1590).
- H2H favours Crawley Town: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crawley Town | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 2.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 3.8 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crawley Town 2–3–1 Barnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Barnet |
| 01/01/26 England League 2 | Barnet | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
| 13/01/18 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Barnet |
| 23/09/17 England League 2 | Barnet | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Crawley Town |
| 11/03/17 England League 2 | Barnet | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Crawley Town |
| 20/08/16 England League 2 | Crawley Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barnet |
Standings · England League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crawley Town | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Accrington Stanley | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Salford City | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Shrewsbury | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnet (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crawley Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Northampton England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Rochdale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Barnet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Salford City England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
5-1 | 6-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Notts County England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crawley Town vs Barnet?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barnet win (55%). Probabilities: Crawley Town 22%, draw 24%, Barnet 55%.
How many goals are expected in Crawley Town vs Barnet?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Crawley Town 1.12 · Barnet 1.89), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Crawley Town vs Barnet?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.