Football · England League 2 · 14/11, 16:00
Prediction: Walsall vs Barnet
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Walsall1.56
Barnet1.7
1X2
Walsall
Draw
Barnet
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Walsall
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Barnet
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Walsall
1–1
Barnet
(2 last)
- Walsall1-3Barnet
- Barnet1-2Walsall
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Walsall 1493 · Barnet 1576
| Walsall | Draw | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barnet (rating 1493 vs 1576).
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Walsall | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 3.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Walsall 1–0–1 Barnet
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England League 2 | Walsall | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Barnet |
| 16/08/25 England League 2 | Barnet | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Walsall |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Walsall | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Swindon | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Fleetwood Town | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Tranmere | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Exeter | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Crewe | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Walsall
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/10 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 20/10 | Oldham England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 26/09 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Port Vale England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Rochdale England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/09 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Barnet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/10 | York England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 24/10 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 20/10 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | Exeter England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Walsall vs Barnet?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barnet win (40%). Probabilities: Walsall 34%, draw 26%, Barnet 40%.
How many goals are expected in Walsall vs Barnet?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Walsall 1.56 · Barnet 1.7), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Walsall vs Barnet?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.