Football · England League 1 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Doncaster vs Leyton Orient

Team pages: Doncaster · Leyton Orient

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Doncaster1.55

Leyton Orient1.28

1X2

42% 27% 30%

Doncaster Draw Leyton Orient

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Doncaster 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLLWLL

Leyton Orient 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Doncaster 3–1–2 Leyton Orient (6 last)

Doncaster3-0Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient4-0Doncaster
Leyton Orient1-0Doncaster
Doncaster1-1Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient1-4Doncaster
Doncaster3-1Leyton Orient

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Doncaster 1487 · Leyton Orient 1491

	Doncaster	Draw	Leyton Orient
Our model	42%	27%	30%
Market	43%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Doncaster: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Doncaster	Leyton Orient
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.54 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +12’	2.15	3.40	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:15 +2056’	2.54	2.58	3.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Doncaster 3–1–2 Leyton Orient

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/01/26 England League 1	Doncaster	3-0 HT 2-0	Leyton Orient
11/10/25 England League 1	Leyton Orient	4-0 HT 2-0	Doncaster
07/01/23 England League 2	Leyton Orient	1-0 HT 0-0	Doncaster
08/10/22 England League 2	Doncaster	1-1 HT 0-1	Leyton Orient
18/03/17 England League 2	Leyton Orient	1-4 HT 1-1	Doncaster
26/11/16 England League 2	Doncaster	3-1 HT 1-1	Leyton Orient

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
2	Stockport	14	8	2	4	26	14	26
3	Oxford Utd	13	7	5	1	22	11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	27	21	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	21	19	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	25	15	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	10	8	22
8	Cambridge Utd	14	5	6	3	21	21	21
9	Sheff Wed	13	5	5	3	22	14	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	22	19	19
11	Mansfield	13	5	4	4	20	18	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	21	23	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	19	14	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	18	21	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	17	13	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	9	21	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	17	21	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	14	22	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	11	22	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	11	23	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	12	22	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	13	33	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Doncaster	Leyton Orient
Luton	1-3 L	1-1 D
Burton Albion	1-0 W	1-2 L
Plymouth	2-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Doncaster (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Doncaster

DLLWWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Milton Keynes Dons England League 1	0-2	1-6	5	5	L
27/10	Luton England League 1	0-1	1-3	5	5	L
24/10	Sheff Wed England League 1	2-0	2-0	9	3	W
20/10	Stockport England League 1	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
17/10	Leicester England League 1	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/10	Burton Albion England League 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Peterborough England League 1	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
05/09	Plymouth England League 1	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
01/09	Notts County England League 1	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Leyton Orient

WDLWLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Cambridge Utd England League 1	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
24/10	Burton Albion England League 1	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
21/10	Reading England League 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/10	Blackpool England League 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/10	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
19/09	Stevenage England League 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Wycombe England League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
05/09	Luton England League 1	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
01/09	Bromley England League 1	1-0	5-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Doncaster vs Leyton Orient?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Doncaster win (42%). Probabilities: Doncaster 42%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 30%.

How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Leyton Orient?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Doncaster 1.55 · Leyton Orient 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Doncaster vs Leyton Orient?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.