Football · England League 1 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Bromley vs Notts County

Team pages: Bromley · Notts County

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Bromley1.24

Notts County1.48

1X2

31% 28% 42%

Bromley Draw Notts County

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Bromley 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLLDLL

Notts County 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Bromley 0–5–1 Notts County (6 last)

Bromley1-1Notts County
Notts County2-2Bromley
Notts County1-1Bromley
Bromley2-4Notts County
Bromley1-1Notts County
Notts County1-1Bromley

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bromley 1373 · Notts County 1527

	Bromley	Draw	Notts County
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	31%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Notts County (rating 1373 vs 1527).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bromley	Notts County
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.6	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.98 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.29

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:14 +16’	3.00	3.30	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +2089’	3.98	2.74	2.29

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bromley 0–5–1 Notts County

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England League 2	Bromley	1-1 HT 1-0	Notts County
23/08/25 England League 2	Notts County	2-2 HT 2-1	Bromley
25/01/25 England League 2	Notts County	1-1 HT 0-0	Bromley
14/09/24 England League 2	Bromley	2-4 HT 2-1	Notts County
04/03/23 England National League	Bromley	1-1 HT 1-0	Notts County
01/11/22 England National League	Notts County	1-1 HT 1-0	Bromley

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	28	12	29
2	Stockport	14	8	2	4	26	14	26
3	Oxford Utd	13	7	5	1	22	11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	27	21	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	21	19	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	25	15	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	10	8	22
8	Cambridge Utd	14	5	6	3	21	21	21
9	Sheff Wed	13	5	5	3	22	14	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	22	19	19
11	Mansfield	13	5	4	4	20	18	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	22	20	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	21	23	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	19	14	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	18	21	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	17	13	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	13	14	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	9	21	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	17	21	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	14	22	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	11	22	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	11	23	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	12	22	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	13	33	9

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bromley	Notts County
Stockport	0-1 L	1-1 D
Mansfield	1-2 L	2-0 W
Huddersfield	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Notts County (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bromley

LLDWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wigan England League 1	2-2	2-3	5	7	L
27/10	Milton Keynes Dons England League 1	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
24/10	Peterborough England League 1	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
20/10	Leicester England League 1	0-3	0-4	5	4	L
17/10	Stockport England League 1	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	Mansfield England League 1	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
19/09	Huddersfield England League 1	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
12/09	Blackpool England League 1	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
07/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
01/09	Leyton Orient England League 1	0-1	0-5	2	5	L

Notts County

WDDLLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Mansfield England League 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
24/10	Stockport England League 1	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
20/10	Sheff Wed England League 1	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
17/10	Wycombe England League 1	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
10/10	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	1-2	5	9	L
19/09	Reading England League 1	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
12/09	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
05/09	Huddersfield England League 1	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
01/09	Doncaster England League 1	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
29/08	Burton Albion England League 1	0-1	2-1	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bromley vs Notts County?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Notts County win (42%). Probabilities: Bromley 31%, draw 28%, Notts County 42%.

How many goals are expected in Bromley vs Notts County?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Bromley 1.24 · Notts County 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bromley vs Notts County?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.