Football · Tanzania Cup · 04/07, 16:00

Prediction: Simba Sports Club vs Azam FC

Expected goals: 2.15 (Simba Sports Club 1.3 · Azam FC 0.85). The model gives 46% home, 30% draw, 24% away. Over 2 goals (50%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Simba Sports Club sits at 10-0-0 (W-D-L), while Azam FC arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Simba Sports Club won 2 and Azam FC 1, with 3 draws.

46%1
46% 30% 24%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simba Sports Club 1609 · Azam FC 1587
Simba Sports ClubDrawAzam FC
Our model46%31%23%
Market47%29%24%
Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.15Simba Sports Club 1.3 · Azam FC 0.85
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Simba Sports Club: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Simba Sports ClubAzam FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.21.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/30/0%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 5.62.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 03.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Simba Sports Club 231 Azam FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Tanzania Premier League
Azam FC0-0
HT 0-0
Simba Sports Club
07/12/25
Tanzania Premier League
Simba Sports Club0-2
HT 0-0
Azam FC
24/02/25
Tanzania Premier League
Simba Sports Club2-2
HT 1-1
Azam FC
26/09/24
Tanzania Premier League
Azam FC0-2
HT 0-1
Simba Sports Club
09/05/24
Tanzania Premier League
Azam FC0-3
HT 0-0
Simba Sports Club
09/02/24
Tanzania Premier League
Simba Sports Club1-1
HT 0-1
Azam FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSimba Sports ClubAzam FC
KMC FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Coastal Union 4-0 W 2-0 W
Pamba SC 2-1 W 2-0 W
Dodoma Jiji FC 1-0 W 2-0 W
Mashujaa FC 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 0 D 0 L 5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Azam FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simba Sports Club

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 KMC FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 1-0 W
27/06 Singida Black Stars
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 2-0 W
24/06 Mtibwa Sugar
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 3-0 W
20/06 Coastal Union
Tanzania Cup
1-0 4-0 W
17/06 Mbeya City
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 1-0 W
14/06 Pamba SC
Tanzania Premier League
1-1 2-1 56 W
24/05 Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 1-0 85 W
21/05 Coastal Union
Tanzania Premier League
2-1 2-1 93 W
17/05 TRA United
Tanzania Cup
2-0 4-0 33 W
14/05 Mashujaa FC
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 3-0 32 W

Azam FC

WWWWWWDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/06 Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 2-0 124 W
27/06 Coastal Union
Tanzania Premier League
2-0 2-0 W
24/06 Young Africans
Tanzania Premier League
0-1 0-3 54 L
21/06 Young Africans
Tanzania Cup
1-0 2-2 25 D
16/06 Mashujaa FC
Tanzania Premier League
2-0 2-0 W
12/06 Singida Fountain Gate FC
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 2-0 54 W
25/05 KMC FC
Tanzania Premier League
3-0 3-0 61 W
22/05 Tanzania Prisons
Tanzania Premier League
1-0 2-0 52 W
17/05 Mashujaa FC
Tanzania Cup
1-0 1-0 66 W
14/05 Pamba SC
Tanzania Premier League
0-0 2-0 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simba Sports Club vs Azam FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Simba Sports Club win (46%). Probabilities: Simba Sports Club 46%, draw 30%, Azam FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Simba Sports Club vs Azam FC?

The model expects 2.15 goals (Simba Sports Club 1.3 · Azam FC 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Simba Sports Club vs Azam FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.