Football · USA USL Super League Women · 31/10, 19:00

Prediction: Sporting JAX (W) vs Brooklyn (W)

Team pages: Sporting JAX (W) · Brooklyn (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Sporting JAX (W)2.03

Brooklyn (W)1.06

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Sporting JAX (W) Draw Brooklyn (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting JAX (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDLLDWD

Brooklyn (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLWDW

Head-to-head

Sporting JAX (W) 2–1–1 Brooklyn (W) (4 last)

Brooklyn (W)3-2Sporting JAX (W)
Sporting JAX (W)2-1Brooklyn (W)
Sporting JAX (W)2-0Brooklyn (W)
Brooklyn (W)3-3Sporting JAX (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting JAX (W) 1525 · Brooklyn (W) 1449

	Sporting JAX (W)	Draw	Brooklyn (W)
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting JAX (W) (rating 1525 vs 1449).
H2H favours Sporting JAX (W): 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting JAX (W)	Brooklyn (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.5	0.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.7	2.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.00▼	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:34 +19’	1.48	3.90	5.50
22:21 +14’	1.53▲	3.80▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting JAX (W) 2–1–1 Brooklyn (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/09/26 USA USL Super League Women	Brooklyn (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	Sporting JAX (W)
03/05/26 USA USL Super League Women	Sporting JAX (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Brooklyn (W)
04/04/26 USA USL Super League Women	Sporting JAX (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Brooklyn (W)
05/10/25 USA USL Super League Women	Brooklyn (W)	3-3 HT 0-1	Sporting JAX (W)

Standings · USA USL Super League Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Carolina Ascent (W)	10	7	2	1	17	6	23
2	Sporting JAX (W)	9	4	3	2	19	14	15
3	DC Power (W)	9	4	2	3	12	9	14
4	Lexington SC (W)	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
5	Dallas Trinity (W)	9	3	2	4	10	13	11
6	Brooklyn (W)	9	3	1	5	7	15	10
7	Tampa Bay Sun (W)	9	2	3	4	10	14	9
8	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	10	2	1	7	7	16	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting JAX (W)	Brooklyn (W)
Lexington SC (W)	3-3 D	0-3 L
Fort Lauderdale Utd (W)	4-1 W	1-0 W
Carolina Ascent (W)	3-3 D	0-1 L
DC Power (W)	1-1 D	1-4 L
Dallas Trinity (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Tampa Bay Sun (W)	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting JAX (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting JAX (W)

LWWWDLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-3	3-3	5	3	D
17/10	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	4-1	10	1	W
27/09	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-1	3-3	6	6	D
20/09	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-1	11	0	L
13/09	Brooklyn (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
05/09	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
30/08	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
23/08	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	3-2	6	1	W
16/08	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/05	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-1	0-1	9	2	L

Brooklyn (W)

LLLLLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Tampa Bay Sun (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/10	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
03/10	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
20/09	Carolina Ascent (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
13/09	Sporting JAX (W) USA USL Super League Women	2-1	3-2	4	4	W
06/09	Dallas Trinity (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	0-3	6	5	L
29/08	Fort Lauderdale Utd (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
22/08	DC Power (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	1-4	6	1	L
16/08	Lexington SC (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-0	0-3	3	2	L
16/05	Spokane Zephyr (W) USA USL Super League Women	0-2	0-4	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting JAX (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting JAX (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Sporting JAX (W) 59%, draw 23%, Brooklyn (W) 18%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting JAX (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Sporting JAX (W) 2.03 · Brooklyn (W) 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting JAX (W) vs Brooklyn (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.