Football · Colombia Primera A · 16/08, 01:05

Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas

Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Aguilas Doradas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Cucuta Deportivo1.12

Aguilas Doradas1.46

1X2

28% 29% 44%

Cucuta Deportivo Draw Aguilas Doradas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cucuta Deportivo 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDLLDL

Aguilas Doradas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LLDWDWDDWW

Head-to-head

Cucuta Deportivo 3–3 Aguilas Doradas (6 last)

Aguilas Doradas3-2Cucuta Deportivo
Aguilas Doradas2-1Cucuta Deportivo
Aguilas Doradas1-3Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo3-0Aguilas Doradas
Aguilas Doradas2-0Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo2-1Aguilas Doradas

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguilas Doradas (rating 1435 vs 1540).
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cucuta Deportivo	Aguilas Doradas
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/70/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	5.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.87

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.48 → 2.48	Pinn 2.48
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.20
2	2.81 → 2.81	Pinn 2.81

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:25 +1’	2.48	3.20	2.81

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 3–0–3 Aguilas Doradas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	3-2 HT 1-2	Cucuta Deportivo
07/11/20 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	2-1 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
16/07/19 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	1-3 HT 0-1	Cucuta Deportivo
27/01/19 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	3-0 HT 1-0	Aguilas Doradas
01/11/15 Colombia Primera A	Aguilas Doradas	2-0 HT 2-0	Cucuta Deportivo
02/05/15 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	2-1 HT 1-0	Aguilas Doradas

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	4	4	0	0	11	0	12
2	Independiente Medellin	3	3	0	0	7	4	9
3	Deportes Tolima	4	3	0	1	8	6	9
4	Atletico Bucaramanga	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
5	Llaneros	3	2	1	0	5	2	7
6	Deportivo Cali	3	2	0	1	4	1	6
7	Aguilas Doradas	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
8	Millonarios	3	2	0	1	3	1	6
9	Once Caldas	4	1	2	1	8	5	5
10	Fortaleza CEIF	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
11	Independiente Santa Fe	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
12	Atletico Nacional Medellin	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
13	Internacional de Bogota	3	1	0	2	2	4	3
14	Deportivo Pereira	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
15	Alianza	3	0	1	2	4	6	1
16	Cucuta Deportivo	3	0	1	2	2	8	1
17	Jaguares de Cordoba	4	0	1	3	1	7	1
18	Junior	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
19	Deportivo Pasto	4	0	0	4	3	9	0
20	Boyaca Chico	2	0	0	2	0	9	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cucuta Deportivo	Aguilas Doradas
Fortaleza CEIF	0-2 L	0-2 L
Once Caldas	1-5 L	2-2 D
Independiente Medellin	1-2 L	2-1 W
Jaguares de Cordoba	0-2 L	0-0 D
Junior	1-1 D	0-3 L
Independiente Santa Fe	0-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Aguilas Doradas (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cucuta Deportivo

LDLDDDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/08	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	1	11	D
27/07	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-3	1-5	10	3	L
02/06	Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
29/05	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Cup	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
16/05	Itagui Leones Colombia Cup	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
10/05	Orsomarso Colombia Cup	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
02/05	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
24/04	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
19/04	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-3	0-5	6	2	L

Aguilas Doradas

LLDWDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
26/07	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
26/05	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup	0-1	2-2	2	6	D
21/05	Deportivo Pereira Colombia Cup	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
18/05	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup	1-1	4-1	4	7	W
10/05	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
26/04	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	4	9	D
19/04	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
11/04	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-2	0-3	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aguilas Doradas win (44%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 28%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.12 · Aguilas Doradas 1.46), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.