Football · Colombia Primera A · 17/08, 01:05
Prediction: America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
Team pages: America de Cali · Fortaleza CEIF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.12Total
America de Cali1.49
Fortaleza CEIF0.63
1X2
America de Cali
Draw
Fortaleza CEIF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
America de Cali
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Fortaleza CEIF
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
America de Cali
2–3–1
Fortaleza CEIF
(6 last)
- Fortaleza CEIF1-2America de Cali
- Fortaleza CEIF1-0America de Cali
- America de Cali1-0Fortaleza CEIF
- America de Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF0-0America de Cali
- America de Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America de Cali 1589 · Fortaleza CEIF 1504
| America de Cali | Draw | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 28% | 15% |
| Market | 58% | 26% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1589 vs 1504).
- H2H favours America de Cali: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America de Cali | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 2–3–1 Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/26 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-2 HT 0-1 | America de Cali |
| 13/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America de Cali |
| 31/03/25 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 29/09/24 Colombia Primera A | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 18/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | America de Cali |
| 19/07/15 Colombia Primera B | America de Cali | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fortaleza CEIF |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
America de Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Houston Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Unam Pumas America Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Santos Laguna America Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 29/05 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Orsomarso Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Itagui Leones Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (58%). Probabilities: America de Cali 58%, draw 27%, Fortaleza CEIF 15%.
How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The model expects 2.12 goals (America de Cali 1.49 · Fortaleza CEIF 0.63), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.