Football · Colombia Primera A · 11/08, 03:05
Prediction: Junior vs Deportivo Pereira
Team pages: Junior · Deportivo Pereira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Junior1.98
Deportivo Pereira0.59
1X2
Junior
Draw
Deportivo Pereira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Junior
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pereira
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Junior
3–1–2
Deportivo Pereira
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pereira2-3Junior
- Junior3-2Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira1-0Junior
- Junior3-1Deportivo Pereira
- Deportivo Pereira0-0Junior
- Junior2-3Deportivo Pereira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Junior 1522 · Deportivo Pereira 1487
| Junior | Draw | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 9% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Junior: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Junior | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior 3–1–2 Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 19/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 27/04/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Junior |
| 21/10/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Pereira |
| 23/05/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pereira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Junior |
| 20/05/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Deportivo Pereira |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportivo Cali | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Fortaleza CEIF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | Alianza | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Junior | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Deportivo Pereira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/05 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/04 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Junior win (70%). Probabilities: Junior 70%, draw 20%, Deportivo Pereira 10%.
How many goals are expected in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Junior 1.98 · Deportivo Pereira 0.59), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.