Football · Colombia Primera A · 15/08, 01:00
Prediction: Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima
Team pages: Llaneros · Deportes Tolima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Llaneros1.51
Deportes Tolima0.76
1X2
Llaneros
Draw
Deportes Tolima
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Llaneros
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportes Tolima
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Llaneros
2–3
Deportes Tolima
(5 last)
- Deportes Tolima0-1Llaneros
- Deportes Tolima3-1Llaneros
- Llaneros1-0Deportes Tolima
- Llaneros1-3Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima1-0Llaneros
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Llaneros (rating 1539 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Deportes Tolima: 3-0-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Llaneros | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Llaneros 2–0–3 Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Llaneros |
| 08/11/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Llaneros |
| 06/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 20/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Llaneros | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Deportes Tolima |
| 24/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Llaneros |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Llaneros | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Junior | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Tolima (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Llaneros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 31/07 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 27/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 12 | 6 | L |
Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Universitario de Deportes Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Llaneros win (54%). Probabilities: Llaneros 54%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 18%.
How many goals are expected in Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Llaneros 1.51 · Deportes Tolima 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.