Football · Colombia Primera A · 16/08, 03:10
Prediction: Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe
Team pages: Atletico Nacional Medellin · Independiente Santa Fe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Atletico Nacional Medellin1.39
Independiente Santa Fe1.1
1X2
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Draw
Independiente Santa Fe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Nacional Medellin
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Independiente Santa Fe
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Nacional Medellin
3–2–1
Independiente Santa Fe
(6 last)
- Independiente Santa Fe1-2Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Atletico Nacional Medellin1-1Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe1-2Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Atletico Nacional Medellin1-2Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe2-2Atletico Nacional Medellin
- Independiente Santa Fe0-3Atletico Nacional Medellin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Atletico Nacional Medellin: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 8.3 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Nacional Medellin 3–2–1 Independiente Santa Fe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 26/07/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 13/06/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 08/06/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 13/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
| 09/12/24 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Nacional Medellin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/07 | Tigres FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 16 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Deportivo Tachira America Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Independiente Santa Fe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 06/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Penarol Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Platense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Nacional Medellin win (42%). Probabilities: Atletico Nacional Medellin 42%, draw 29%, Independiente Santa Fe 29%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.39 · Independiente Santa Fe 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.