Football · Colombia Primera A · 18/08, 03:15
Prediction: Boyaca Chico vs Junior
Team pages: Boyaca Chico · Junior
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Boyaca Chico1.05
Junior1.55
1X2
Boyaca Chico
Draw
Junior
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boyaca Chico
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Junior
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boyaca Chico
1–1–4
Junior
(6 last)
- Junior3-0Boyaca Chico
- Junior2-0Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico0-2Junior
- Junior2-1Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico2-2Junior
- Boyaca Chico2-1Junior
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boyaca Chico 1468 · Junior 1521
| Boyaca Chico | Draw | Junior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 28% | 48% |
| Market | 24% | 28% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junior (rating 1468 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Junior: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boyaca Chico | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boyaca Chico 1–1–4 Junior
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 02/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 19/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 22/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Boyaca Chico |
| 28/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Junior |
| 20/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Junior |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Medellin | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Aguilas Doradas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | Fortaleza CEIF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Independiente Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Alianza | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Cucuta Deportivo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 18 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boyaca Chico | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente Santa Fe | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Millonarios | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Patriotas FC Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-3 | 0-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/04 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Cup |
2-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 09/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 29/05 | Palmeiras Copa Libertadores |
1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Sporting Cristal Copa Libertadores |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Junior win (47%). Probabilities: Boyaca Chico 24%, draw 28%, Junior 47%.
How many goals are expected in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Boyaca Chico 1.05 · Junior 1.55), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.