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Football · Poland Super Cup · 16/07, 19:00

Prediction: Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Lech Poznan1.58
Gornik Zabrze1.02
1X2
49% 28% 23%
Lech Poznan Draw Gornik Zabrze
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WDDWWWDWDW
Gornik Zabrze 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWWWWLDW
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan 3–1–2 Gornik Zabrze (6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lech Poznan: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 11.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.21 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 5.93.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.22.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan 3–1–2 Gornik Zabrze

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/03/26
Poland Cup
Lech Poznan0-1
HT 0-1
Gornik Zabrze
07/02/26
Poland Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze0-1
HT 0-1
Lech Poznan
02/08/25
Poland Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan2-1
HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
06/12/24
Poland Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze2-1
HT 2-1
Lech Poznan
21/07/24
Poland Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan2-0
HT 1-0
Gornik Zabrze
09/03/24
Poland Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze0-0
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLech PoznanGornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock 2-2 D 1-0 W
Radomiak Radom 3-1 W 6-2 W
Arka Gdynia 1-1 D 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lech Poznan

WDDWWWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova
Europe Friendlies
 1-0 3-1 20 W
23/05 Wisla Plock
Poland Ekstraklasa
 1-0 2-2 53 D
16/05 Radomiak Radom
Poland Ekstraklasa
 2-1 3-1 45 W
08/05 Arka Gdynia
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-0 1-1 155 D
02/05 Motor Lublin
Poland Ekstraklasa
 1-0 1-0 70 W
26/04 Legia Warsaw
Poland Ekstraklasa
 4-0 4-0 52 W
18/04 Pogon Szczecin
Poland Ekstraklasa
 1-0 2-1 66 W
12/04 GKS Katowice
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-1 3-3 61 D
04/04 Jagiellonia Bialystok
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-0 0-0 34 D
22/03 Termalica BB Nieciecza
Poland Ekstraklasa
 3-0 4-1 65 W

Gornik Zabrze

WLDWWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Club Friendly List
 2-0 2-0 –– W
04/07 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 0-0 70 D
04/07 FC Salzburg
Europe Friendlies
 0-1 1-2 20 L
28/06 Hallescher FC
Europe Friendlies
 0-0 2-1 50 W
24/06 Puszcza Niepolomice
Europe Friendlies
 2-0 3-0 –– W
23/05 Radomiak Radom
Poland Ekstraklasa
 5-0 6-2 65 W
16/05 Wisla Plock
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-0 1-0 44 W
13/05 Arka Gdynia
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-0 0-0 92 D
09/05 Zaglebie Lubin
Poland Ekstraklasa
 0-0 0-2 151 L
02/05 Rakow Czestochowa
Poland Cup
 1-0 2-0 27 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lech Poznan win (49%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan 49%, draw 28%, Gornik Zabrze 23%.

How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Lech Poznan 1.58 · Gornik Zabrze 1.02), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Gornik Zabrze?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.