Football · Belgium Super League Women · 15/11, 17:00
Prediction: OH Leuven (W) vs Genk (W)
Team pages: OH Leuven (W) · Genk (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
OH Leuven (W)2.23
Genk (W)0.7
1X2
OH Leuven (W)
Draw
Genk (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
OH Leuven (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Genk (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OH Leuven (W)
4–2–0
Genk (W)
(6 last)
- Genk (W)0-0OH Leuven (W)
- OH Leuven (W)4-1Genk (W)
- Genk (W)0-3OH Leuven (W)
- OH Leuven (W)1-1Genk (W)
- OH Leuven (W)3-0Genk (W)
- Genk (W)1-4OH Leuven (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · OH Leuven (W) 1536 · Genk (W) 1471
| OH Leuven (W) | Draw | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OH Leuven (W) (rating 1536 vs 1471).
- H2H favours OH Leuven (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OH Leuven (W) | Genk (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OH Leuven (W) 4–2–0 Genk (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 24/01/26 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Genk (W) |
| 08/11/25 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | OH Leuven (W) |
| 06/09/25 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Genk (W) |
| 15/03/25 Belgium Super League Women | OH Leuven (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Genk (W) |
| 24/01/25 Belgium Super League Women | Genk (W) | 1-4 HT 1-1 | OH Leuven (W) |
Standings · Belgium Super League Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht (W) | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Brugge (W) | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | OH Leuven (W) | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Standard Liege (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 12 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Genk (W) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem (W) | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent (W) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OH Leuven (W) | Genk (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge (W) | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Zulte-Waregem (W) | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Anderlecht (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| RAAL La Louviere (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Standard Liege (W) | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gent (W) | 6-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: OH Leuven (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OH Leuven (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Genk (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Genk (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | RAAL La Louviere (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/10 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Standard Liege (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/09 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Brugge (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | OH Leuven (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Anderlecht (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Zulte-Waregem (W) Belgium Super League Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gent (W) Belgium Super League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OH Leuven (W) vs Genk (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a OH Leuven (W) win (72%). Probabilities: OH Leuven (W) 72%, draw 19%, Genk (W) 10%.
How many goals are expected in OH Leuven (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model expects 2.93 goals (OH Leuven (W) 2.23 · Genk (W) 0.7), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in OH Leuven (W) vs Genk (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.