Football · Slovenia 2. SNL · 21/08, 19:00
Prediction: NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Brezice
Team pages: NK Triglav Kranj · NK Brezice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
NK Triglav Kranj2.46
NK Brezice0.75
1X2
NK Triglav Kranj
Draw
NK Brezice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
NK Triglav Kranj
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
NK Brezice
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Triglav Kranj
2–2–2
NK Brezice
(6 last)
- NK Triglav Kranj2-3NK Brezice
- NK Brezice1-1NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Brezice1-1NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Brezice1-0NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Brezice1-2NK Triglav Kranj
- NK Triglav Kranj4-0NK Brezice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Triglav Kranj 1524 · NK Brezice 1494
| NK Triglav Kranj | Draw | NK Brezice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Triglav Kranj | NK Brezice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 33/17/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 1.7 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Triglav Kranj 2–2–2 NK Brezice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/22 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 2-3 HT 0-0 | NK Brezice |
| 23/10/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Brezice | 1-1 HT 0-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 19/05/21 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Brezice | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 05/09/20 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Brezice | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 14/08/19 Slovenia Cup | NK Brezice | 1-2 HT 0-2 | NK Triglav Kranj |
| 14/05/17 Slovenia 2. SNL | NK Triglav Kranj | 4-0 HT 1-0 | NK Brezice |
Standings · Slovenia 2. SNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ND Ilirija Ljubljana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Tabor Sezana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | NK Bilje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | NK Krsko | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Jadran Dekani | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NK Rudar Velenje | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | ND Beltinci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Vrhnika | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NK Triglav Kranj | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | ND Slovan Ljubljana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | NK Jesenice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | NK Krka | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | NK Bistrica | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 15 | NK Brezice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | ND Dravinja | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Triglav Kranj
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | NK Jesenice Slovenia Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Waldhof Mannheim Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | HNK Segesta Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | NK Bistrica Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Tabor Sezana Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/05 | Jadran Dekani Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/04 | NK Jesenice Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
NK Brezice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | NK Vrhnika Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Karlovac Club Friendly List |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | HNK Gorica Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | DNS Zavrc Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | NK Race Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | NK Podvinci Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Fuzinar Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | SD Videm Slovenia 3. SNL |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | NK Dobrovce Slovenia 3. SNL |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Brezice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Triglav Kranj win (75%). Probabilities: NK Triglav Kranj 75%, draw 16%, NK Brezice 9%.
How many goals are expected in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Brezice?
The model expects 3.21 goals (NK Triglav Kranj 2.46 · NK Brezice 0.75), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Triglav Kranj vs NK Brezice?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.