Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 09/10, 15:00
Prediction: Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Team pages: Hapoel Rishon Lezion · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Hapoel Rishon Lezion2.31
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1.38
1X2
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Draw
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
1–3–2
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
(6 last)
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa4-2Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion4-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1532 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1472
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Draw | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion (rating 1532 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.6 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1–3–2 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 Israel League Cup | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 14/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 05/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 31/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
| 26/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 01/08/24 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | SC Kiryat Yam | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Raanana | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 14 |
| 7 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 8 | SC Kfar Qasim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 11 | Ironi Modiin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| MS Ashdod | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| SC Kiryat Yam | 4-2 W | 2-6 L |
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 28/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 17/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-3 | 2-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (57%). Probabilities: Hapoel Rishon Lezion 57%, draw 22%, Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 21%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Hapoel Rishon Lezion 2.31 · Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.