Prediction: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Beer Sheva (rating 1548 vs 1489).
- H2H favours Hapoel Beer Sheva: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Beer Sheva 4–0–2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/26 Israel Cup | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 19/05/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 28/04/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 12/04/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 07/12/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 13/07/25 Israel Super Cup | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 2-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Beer Sheva (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 01/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Beer Sheva win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Beer Sheva 41%, draw 26%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 33%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.6 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.43), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.