Football · Poland I Liga · 06/09, 19:00
Prediction: MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice
Team pages: MKP Pogon Siedlce · Puszcza Niepolomice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
MKP Pogon Siedlce1.2
Puszcza Niepolomice1.18
1X2
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Draw
Puszcza Niepolomice
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
MKP Pogon Siedlce
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Puszcza Niepolomice
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MKP Pogon Siedlce
1–2–1
Puszcza Niepolomice
(4 last)
- Puszcza Niepolomice3-0MKP Pogon Siedlce
- MKP Pogon Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- MKP Pogon Siedlce0-0Puszcza Niepolomice
- Puszcza Niepolomice2-3MKP Pogon Siedlce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puszcza Niepolomice (rating 1438 vs 1490).
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | Puszcza Niepolomice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MKP Pogon Siedlce 1–2–1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 3-0 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 24/08/25 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 27/05/18 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puszcza Niepolomice |
| 04/11/17 Poland I Liga | Puszcza Niepolomice | 2-3 HT 1-1 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
Standings · Poland I Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miedz Legnica | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | LKS Lodz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Polonia Warsaw | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Arka Gdynia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Warta Poznan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | Odra Opole | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Stal Mielec | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Ruch Chorzow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | Lechia Gdansk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 16 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MKP Pogon Siedlce | Puszcza Niepolomice |
|---|---|---|
| Stal Mielec | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Polonia Warsaw | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| LKS Lodz | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: MKP Pogon Siedlce (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
Puszcza Niepolomice
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/08 | Arka Gdynia Poland I Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MKP Pogon Siedlce win (35%). Probabilities: MKP Pogon Siedlce 35%, draw 30%, Puszcza Niepolomice 34%.
How many goals are expected in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model expects 2.38 goals (MKP Pogon Siedlce 1.2 · Puszcza Niepolomice 1.18), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Puszcza Niepolomice?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.