Football · Scotland League One · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride

Team pages: Cove Rangers · East Kilbride

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Cove Rangers1.28
East Kilbride1.92
1X2
24% 25% 51%
Cove Rangers Draw East Kilbride
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Cove Rangers 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLLDL
East Kilbride 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWWWDD
Head-to-head
Cove Rangers 1–2 East Kilbride (3 last)
  • East Kilbride3-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers3-2East Kilbride
  • East Kilbride3-2Cove Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cove Rangers 1495 · East Kilbride 1523
Cove RangersDrawEast Kilbride
Our model24%24%51%
Market24%25%51%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours East Kilbride: 2-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cove RangersEast Kilbride
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.81.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.93.4 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.35.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove Rangers 1–0–2 East Kilbride

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/08/26
Scotland League One
East Kilbride3-0
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers
14/07/26
Scotland League Cup
Cove Rangers3-2
HT 0-0
East Kilbride
07/09/24
Scotland League Challenge Cup
East Kilbride3-2
HT 1-1
Cove Rangers

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 10910 38628
2 Hamilton 10910 23328
3 East Kilbride 11533 201518
4 Montrose 11515 142016
5 Airdrieonians 11344 101513
6 Alloa 11335 121312
7 Peterhead 11317 91710
8 Queen of South 11317 123410
9 East Fife 11164 8149
10 Cove Rangers 11137 9186

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCove RangersEast Kilbride
Peterhead 0-2 L 3-1 W
East Fife 1-1 D 3-0 W
Ross County 0-2 L 0-4 L
Montrose 1-2 L 1-1 D
Alloa 1-1 D 2-1 W
Hamilton 0-1 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 4 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: East Kilbride (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cove Rangers

LLWLDLLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 56 L
10/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 45 D
03/10 Queen of South
Scotland League One
0-2 3-4 76 L
19/09 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 45 L
12/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 40 L
05/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 33 L
22/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 34 W
15/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 25 L
08/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 31 L

East Kilbride

DWLLLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 135 D
10/10 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
2-1 2-2 67 D
03/10 East Fife
Scotland League One
1-0 3-0 45 W
19/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 2-1 75 W
12/09 Peterhead
Scotland League One
1-0 3-1 46 W
05/09 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 116 L
29/08 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-4 35 L
22/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-2 0-3 45 L
15/08 Cove Rangers
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 75 W
08/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 76 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

According to our model, the most likely result is an East Kilbride win (51%). Probabilities: Cove Rangers 24%, draw 25%, East Kilbride 51%.

How many goals are expected in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Cove Rangers 1.28 · East Kilbride 1.92), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cove Rangers vs East Kilbride?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.