Football · Scotland Premiership · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Falkirk vs Hearts
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Falkirk1.48
Hearts1.35
1X2
Falkirk
Draw
Hearts
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Falkirk
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Hearts
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Falkirk
1–1–4
Hearts
(6 last)
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-0Falkirk
- Hearts1-1Falkirk
- Falkirk0-2Hearts
- Hearts3-0Falkirk
- Falkirk2-0Hearts
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hearts: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Falkirk | Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Falkirk 1–1–4 Hearts
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 21/02/26 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Falkirk |
| 17/01/26 Scotland FA Cup | Hearts | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Falkirk |
| 13/12/25 Scotland Premiership | Falkirk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Hearts |
| 27/09/25 Scotland Premiership | Hearts | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Falkirk |
| 17/08/24 Scotland League Cup | Falkirk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hearts |
Standings · Scotland Premiership
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | St Mirren | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Motherwell | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Hearts | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Dundee | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Falkirk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Motherwell Scotland Premiership |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | St Mirren Scotland Premiership |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Stranraer Scotland League Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Alloa Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Genk Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Ayr Scotland League Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Edinburgh Scotland League Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Airdrieonians UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Rangers Scotland Premiership |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Hearts Scotland Premiership |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Hearts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Inverness CT Scotland League Cup |
1-0 | 6-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Dundee Utd Scotland Premiership |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Benfica UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Aberdeen Scotland Premiership |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 28/07 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/07 | SK Sturm Graz UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-4 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Rayo Vallecano Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Livingston UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Celtic Scotland Premiership |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Falkirk vs Hearts?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Falkirk win (39%). Probabilities: Falkirk 39%, draw 27%, Hearts 33%.
How many goals are expected in Falkirk vs Hearts?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Falkirk 1.48 · Hearts 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Hearts?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.