Football · Scotland Premiership · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: St Johnstone vs Celtic

Team pages: St Johnstone · Celtic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

St Johnstone1.7

Celtic1.37

1X2

44% 26% 30%

St Johnstone Draw Celtic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St Johnstone 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Celtic 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

St Johnstone 1–5 Celtic (6 last)

St Johnstone0-5Celtic
St Johnstone1-0Celtic
Celtic4-0St Johnstone
St Johnstone0-6Celtic
Celtic3-1St Johnstone
St Johnstone1-3Celtic

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Celtic: 5-0-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Johnstone	Celtic
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	2.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.2	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.61 → 5.61	Pinn 5.61
X	4.54 → 4.54	Pinn 4.54
2	1.52 → 1.52	Pinn 1.52

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:50 +2490’	5.61	4.54	1.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Johnstone 1–0–5 Celtic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/25 Scotland FA Cup	St Johnstone	0-5 HT 0-4	Celtic
06/04/25 Scotland Premiership	St Johnstone	1-0 HT 1-0	Celtic
29/12/24 Scotland Premiership	Celtic	4-0 HT 1-0	St Johnstone
28/09/24 Scotland Premiership	St Johnstone	0-6 HT 0-3	Celtic
16/03/24 Scotland Premiership	Celtic	3-1 HT 1-0	St Johnstone
03/12/23 Scotland Premiership	St Johnstone	1-3 HT 1-0	Celtic

Standings · Scotland Premiership

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Celtic	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	St Mirren	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
3	Motherwell	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	Hearts	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
5	Dundee	2	1	0	1	2	1	3
6	St Johnstone	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	Hibernian	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Aberdeen	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
9	Rangers	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	Falkirk	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
11	Dundee Utd	2	0	1	1	1	5	1
12	Kilmarnock	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St Johnstone

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	St Mirren Scotland Premiership	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
02/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	1-1	4-3	6	4	W
25/07	East Fife Scotland League Cup	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
21/07	Inverness CT Scotland League Cup	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
18/07	Morton Scotland League Cup	0-0	3-0	12	5	W
14/07	Linlithgow Rose Scotland League Cup	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
11/07	Cove Rangers UK Friendlies	3-1	4-2	11	0	W
04/07	Montrose Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/06	Forfar UK Friendlies	3-0	4-0	10	0	W
01/05	Ayr Scotland Championship	1-0	1-0	9	2	W

Celtic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dundee Utd Scotland League Cup	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
09/08	Kilmarnock Scotland Premiership	3-0	5-1	7	1	W
03/08	Dundee Scotland Premiership	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
25/07	AC Milan Elite Club Friendlies	2-0	2-2	3	1	D
18/07	Middlesbrough UK Friendlies	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
14/07	Sporting Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
07/07	Shelbourne Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	8	0	D
23/05	Dunfermline Scotland FA Cup	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
16/05	Hearts Scotland Premiership	1-1	3-1	9	9	W
13/05	Motherwell Scotland Premiership	1-1	3-2	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Johnstone vs Celtic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Johnstone win (44%). Probabilities: St Johnstone 44%, draw 26%, Celtic 30%.

How many goals are expected in St Johnstone vs Celtic?

The model expects 3.07 goals (St Johnstone 1.7 · Celtic 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Celtic?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.